Sat, Feb 11, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 52% of the time.
40%
12%
11%
38%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 25:18 | 0.08 | 39.4% | +22.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 24:44 | 0.49 | 63.9% | +39.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 21:45 | 0.19 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:55 | 0.28 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.02 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:58 | 0.00 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.00 | 12.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:41 | 0.29 | 66.9% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:08 | 0.00 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:22 | 0.02 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 16:09 | 0.28 | 60.4% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 12.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.05 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.00 | 10.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:57 | 0.06 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:51 | 0.00 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:26 | 0.00 | 81.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 1.83 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:02 | 0.04 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:17 | 0.05 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:38 | 0.06 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.13 | 77.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:05 | 0.36 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:00 | 0.23 | 30.3% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.03 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.09 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:20 | 0.27 | 77.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.02 | 59.3% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.04 | 47.8% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.01 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.03 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.18 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:40 | 0.04 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:44 | 0.15 | 82.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:51 | 0.11 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:33 | 0.00 | 72.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 1.76 | −0.2 | 58:40 |