Sat, Feb 11, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 52% of the time.
40%
12%
11%
38%
BUF winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Downie–Purcell–Stamkos | Moore–Thompson–Pyatt | St. Louis–Lecavalier–Shannon | St. Louis–Lecavalier–Connolly | St. Louis–Lecavalier–Wyman | Moore–Thompson–Shannon | St. Louis–Lecavalier–Pyatt | Moore–Wyman–Connolly | St. Louis–Lecavalier–Purcell | Clark–Hedman | Kubina–Brewer | Gervais–Mikkelson | Gilroy–Hedman | Brewer–Gervais | Kubina–Hedman | Gervais–Gilroy | Gervais–Hedman | Brewer–Gilroy | Clark–Kubina | Kubina–Mikkelson | Mikkelson–Gilroy | Brewer–Hedman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy–Pominville–Leino | 2:130.03–0.05 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:340.00–0.06 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:280.02–0.04 | 2:320.01–0.13 | 0:400.00–0.03 | 0:330.01–0.03 | 1:150.00–0.06 | |||||||||||||
| Vanek–Stafford–Ennis | 0:570.00–0.05 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:550.04–0.02 | 0:450.02–0.00 | 2:420.04–0.05 | 2:100.02–0.07 | 0:410.02–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.04 | 0:540.01–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Gaustad–Kaleta–Gerbe | 1:520.17–0.06 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:370.15–0.00 | 0:330.03–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:420.31–0.06 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:440.07–0.00 | 0:330.03–0.00 | 1:160.14–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Boyes–Ellis–Kassian | 0:310.00–0.05 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:330.08–0.00 | 0:590.08–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 2:220.00–0.01 | 1:150.16–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Roy–Pominville–Vanek | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:350.18–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.01 | 0:490.04–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.16 | 2:270.01–0.01 | 0:350.18–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Gaustad–Kaleta–Leino | 1:220.00–0.14 | 1:110.05–0.00 | 1:250.14–0.00 | 1:450.05–0.12 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Stafford–Gerbe–Ennis | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 3:060.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Gaustad–Gerbe–Kassian | 0:550.01–0.00 | 1:040.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Ehrhoff–Myers | 6:440.02–0.62 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:180.15–0.02 | 0:550.01–0.00 | 4:460.18–0.21 | 5:140.14–0.14 | 1:170.00–0.15 | 0:510.07–0.21 | 0:300.00–0.17 | 1:040.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Regehr–Leopold | 1:520.18–0.06 | 1:570.00–0.02 | 1:260.00–0.01 | 1:120.03–0.01 | 1:170.12–0.02 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:130.21–0.08 | 2:420.01–0.01 | 3:160.03–0.01 | 0:310.08–0.00 | 0:310.03–0.00 | 1:050.06–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Sekera–Weber | 2:080.07–0.03 | 1:020.02–0.00 | 1:470.08–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.03 | 1:470.04–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 3:420.07–0.01 | 1:090.02–0.00 | 2:400.08–0.00 | 0:460.08–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.03 | 1:150.00–0.06 | ||||||||||
| Sekera–Myers | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:440.01–0.05 | 0:350.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Leopold–Ehrhoff | 0:300.00–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 25:18 | 0:56 | 2:29 | 4 | 3 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 26 | 24:44 | 0:57 | 1:45 | 4 | 4 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 24 | 23:02 | 0:58 | 1:56 | 5 | 2 |
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 24 | 22:17 | 0:56 | 2:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 23 | 21:45 | 0:57 | 1:30 | 2 | 3 |
 Derek RoyBUF | 21 | 20:38 | 0:59 | 1:38 | 2 | 2 |
 Jordan LeopoldBUF | 27 | 20:04 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 3 | 4 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 23 | 19:55 | 0:52 | 1:45 | 2 | 4 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 24 | 19:34 | 0:49 | 1:52 | 2 | 3 |
 Paul GaustadBUF | 21 | 19:05 | 0:55 | 1:29 | 4 | 2 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 21 | 19:00 | 0:54 | 1:20 | 3 | 2 |
 Pavel KubinaTBL | 25 | 18:58 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Dominic MooreTBL | 22 | 18:52 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 2 | 2 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 20 | 18:41 | 0:56 | 1:39 | 5 | 1 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 22 | 18:07 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Robyn RegehrBUF | 24 | 17:27 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 3 | 3 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 21 | 17:20 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 4 | 1 |
 Bruno GervaisTBL | 17 | 17:08 | 1:00 | 1:45 | 2 | 1 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 20 | 16:49 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 18 | 16:41 | 0:56 | 1:49 | 7 | 1 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 22 | 16:22 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 2 | 2 |
 Steve DownieTBL | 18 | 16:09 | 0:54 | 1:39 | 4 | 1 |
 Ville LeinoBUF | 16 | 16:03 | 1:00 | 1:38 | 1 | 1 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 19 | 15:58 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 0 | 2 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 17 | 15:37 | 0:55 | 1:23 | 5 | 1 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 16 | 14:22 | 0:54 | 1:11 | 5 | 1 |
 Brendan MikkelsonTBL | 17 | 14:20 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 4 | 0 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 18 | 13:40 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 20 | 13:15 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 1 | 1 |
 Ryan ShannonTBL | 16 | 12:57 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 0 | 2 |
 Zack KassianBUF | 13 | 9:44 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 1 | 1 |
 Brad BoyesBUF | 12 | 8:51 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 0 | 0 |
 JT WymanTBL | 14 | 8:47 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 2 | 3 |
 Matt GilroyTBL | 8 | 7:51 | 0:59 | 1:34 | 2 | 0 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 11 | 7:26 | 0:41 | 1:02 | 2 | 0 |
 Matt EllisBUF | 9 | 6:33 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 0 | 1 |