Tue, Feb 14, 2012·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Calgary Flames 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
28%
59%
CGY winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 24:56 | 0.16 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:18 | 0.01 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:16 | 0.03 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 19:59 | 0.50 | 63.4% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.04 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 18:52 | 0.90 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 18:27 | 0.41 | 61.3% | +12.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 17:42 | 1.64 | 65.2% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.09 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:15 | 0.35 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.03 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.04 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.03 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:26 | 0.24 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:55 | 0.34 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:06 | 0.00 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:00 | 0.02 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:51 | 0.08 | 19.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 3.88 | −1.1 | 59:21 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:02 | 0.09 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:59 | 0.03 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:35 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.06 | 33.7% | +1.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.27 | 30.7% | +28.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 18:31 | 0.52 | 37.3% | +11.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.37 | 37.2% | +28.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:07 | 0.56 | 55.5% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.01 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.24 | 46.4% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:16 | 0.35 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.11 | 63.1% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.40 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:01 | 0.15 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:53 | 0.31 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:32 | 0.08 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.02 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:19 | 0.29 | 36.8% | +13.3 |
| W | 42 | 41 | 1 | .976 | 4.90 | +3.9 | 59:53 |