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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 14, 2012·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Calgary Flames 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Lupul–Kessel–BozakConnolly–MacArthur–GrabovskiLombardi–Crabb–KuleminSteckel–Boyce–BrownLiles–FransonPhaneuf–GardinerKomisarek–SchennKomisarek–PhaneufSchenn–GardinerPhaneuf–SchennLiles–Phaneuf
Iginla–Jokinen–Tanguay11:210.86–2.200:390.08–0.003:460.27–0.445:110.14–1.701:340.16–0.150:340.00–0.050:350.28–0.000:310.08–0.00
Kostopoulos–Cammalleri–Comeau0:350.00–0.039:270.68–0.974:480.16–0.331:400.36–0.031:160.08–0.022:140.04–0.581:060.28–0.04
Jackman–Stajan–Byron0:490.00–0.001:250.00–0.475:450.30–0.101:190.00–0.001:290.30–0.024:050.00–0.550:310.00–0.000:590.04–0.00
Kolanos–Bouma–Horak0:370.00–0.086:170.38–0.150:470.08–0.002:290.07–0.121:260.31–0.001:490.08–0.080:450.00–0.030:480.00–0.00
Bouwmeester–Butler7:320.92–1.725:330.43–0.212:280.00–0.091:520.00–0.003:460.27–0.287:380.56–1.582:310.02–0.022:570.08–0.261:190.28–0.040:360.00–0.00
Hannan–Giordano3:270.00–0.465:390.29–0.811:580.08–0.031:480.08–0.057:170.20–0.581:580.36–0.162:220.10–0.190:490.00–0.491:100.04–0.08
Sarich–Brodie1:300.28–0.051:030.00–0.036:040.39–0.504:030.30–0.054:030.03–0.091:520.53–0.022:280.04–0.501:430.00–0.031:190.00–0.000:370.28–0.000:480.08–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndComeau FKostopoulos FCammalleri FIginla FJokinen FTanguay FKolanos FHorak FBouma FJackman FStajan FByron FBouwmeester DButler DGiordano DHannan DSarich DBrodie DKiprusoff GConnolly FMacArthur FGrabovski FLupul FBozak FKessel FLombardi FKulemin FCrabb FBrown FSteckel FBoyce FPhaneuf DKomisarek DSchenn DGardiner DFranson DLiles DGustavsson G
CGYTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dion PhaneufTOR2824:560:531:3755
Jay BouwmeesterCGY2724:020:532:0941
Chris ButlerCGY2723:590:532:0941
Jake GardinerTOR2623:180:541:3767
John-Michael LilesTOR2621:160:491:1421
Scott HannanCGY2620:350:481:3823
Mark GiordanoCGY2720:090:451:3825
Phil KesselTOR2319:590:521:5943
Cody FransonTOR2419:550:501:5931
Alex TanguayCGY2619:520:461:3235
Mikhail GrabovskiTOR2018:520:571:4420
Jarome IginlaCGY2318:310:481:3232
Joffrey LupulTOR2318:270:481:3763
Tyler BozakTOR2317:420:461:1673
Olli JokinenCGY2217:400:481:4232
Blake ComeauCGY2217:070:471:2703
Clarke MacArthurTOR2016:430:501:1430
Tim ConnollyTOR2216:150:441:1820
Cory SarichCGY2015:420:471:2433
Mike KomisarekTOR2215:350:431:1611
Michael CammalleriCGY1915:280:491:2402
Tom KostopoulosCGY2115:160:441:2102
Luke SchennTOR2115:080:431:2200
TJ BrodieCGY1814:480:491:2432
Joey CrabbTOR1914:380:461:1612
Matt StajanCGY2114:210:411:1754
Nikolay KuleminTOR1813:260:451:1410
Matthew LombardiTOR1612:550:481:1510
Lance BoumaCGY1812:010:400:5920
Roman HorakCGY1811:530:401:3422
Krys KolanosCGY1911:320:361:1531
Tim JackmanCGY1410:520:471:1241
Paul ByronCGY1310:190:481:1241
David SteckelTOR1410:060:431:2116
Darryl BoyceTOR119:000:491:2913
Mike BrownTOR118:510:481:2913