Tue, Mar 6, 2012·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Montréal Canadiens 4, Calgary Flames 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 72% of the time.
62%
9%
9%
20%
CGY winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:05 | 0.11 | 52.6% | +10.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.00 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:33 | 0.01 | 37.7% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.06 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 20:10 | 0.27 | 30.3% | +33.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:43 | 0.03 | 30.5% | +10.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.07 | 31.8% | +22.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 18:15 | 0.39 | 34.6% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.01 | 14.0% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:01 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:21 | 0.13 | 25.6% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.01 | 23.1% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:01 | 0.12 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.15 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:30 | 0.04 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:30 | 0.04 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:17 | 0.03 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 2.55 | −2.5 | 58:31 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:55 | 0.06 | 65.4% | +10.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22:32 | 0.32 | 53.1% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:09 | 0.14 | 63.0% | +10.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 21:06 | 0.23 | 77.8% | +43.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:05 | 0.10 | 71.6% | +40.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.11 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:13 | 0.24 | 77.5% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.12 | 65.5% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:02 | 0.07 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.00 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.00 | 76.9% | +12.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:43 | 0.37 | 82.4% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:38 | 0.18 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.27 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:31 | 0.06 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:25 | 0.09 | 88.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:47 | 0.19 | 89.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | 0.00 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 1.48 | −2.5 | 59:50 |