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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 20, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

New York Islanders 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 93% of the time.

TOR winsNYI wins

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mark StreitD · #2022−1024:080.0375.1%+47.2
Travis HamonicD · #3000+2022:550.0187.3%0.0
John TavaresC · #91033+2222:040.3889.5%+55.7
Andrew MacDonaldD · #47000+2121:580.0186.6%0.0
PA ParenteauRW · #15123+2421:270.5793.4%+29.5
Matt MoulsonLW · #26202+1320:581.1781.6%+37.2
Dylan ReeseD · #42000−1318:380.1078.3%0.0
Frans NielsenC · #510000116:480.0461.0%0.0
Josh BaileyRW · #12101+1116:140.0766.3%+18.5
Kyle OkposoRW · #210000114:420.1664.4%0.0
Mark EatonD · #4000+1013:500.0058.9%0.0
Steve StaiosD · #24000+1313:400.0662.1%0.0
David UllstromLW · #41101+1312:190.1448.7%+22.8
Marty ReasonerC · #16000−2112:160.2078.8%0.0
Nino NiederreiterRW · #25000−2212:050.2079.9%0.0
Matt MartinLW · #17000−1411:580.5080.3%0.0
Casey CizikasC · #53011+2311:140.3657.4%+22.8
Michael GrabnerLW · #40011+2210:460.0561.5%+22.8
Evgeni Nabokov#20W14122.8571.02−1.060:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Dion PhaneufD · #3000−1024:260.0010.5%0.0
John-Michael LilesD · #24000−1121:200.0212.4%0.0
Mike KomisarekD · #80110120:360.0144.6%+17.5
Carl GunnarssonD · #360000020:290.0012.8%0.0
Jake GardinerD · #51011−2020:140.0548.0%+20.4
David SteckelC · #20000−1219:110.058.6%0.0
Tyler BozakC · #42011−1018:540.0043.3%+17.5
Tim ConnollyC · #12000−1018:520.007.0%0.0
Joey CrabbRW · #460000018:360.009.0%0.0
Phil KesselRW · #81101−1117:410.0230.8%+17.5
Clarke MacArthurLW · #16000+1117:370.1215.2%0.0
Mikhail GrabovskiC · #84000−1214:570.0822.5%0.0
Matt FrattinRW · #39000−2113:210.0742.5%0.0
Luke SchennD · #20000013:140.0414.4%0.0
Matthew LombardiC · #15101−1112:210.1018.2%+20.4
Carter AshtonRW · #37000−2411:100.4554.1%0.0
Colby ArmstrongRW · #9011+105:550.0023.0%+20.4
Jay RosehillLW · #38000+105:000.0022.0%0.0
James Reimer#34L33294.8793.42−0.659:34