Tue, Mar 20, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
New York Islanders 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 93% of the time.
90%
TOR winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 24:08 | 0.03 | 75.1% | +47.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:55 | 0.01 | 87.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.38 | 89.5% | +55.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:58 | 0.01 | 86.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 21:27 | 0.57 | 93.4% | +29.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:58 | 1.17 | 81.6% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:38 | 0.10 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:48 | 0.04 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.07 | 66.3% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.16 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:40 | 0.06 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:19 | 0.14 | 48.7% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.20 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:05 | 0.20 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 11:58 | 0.50 | 80.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 11:14 | 0.36 | 57.4% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 10:46 | 0.05 | 61.5% | +22.8 |
| W | 14 | 12 | 2 | .857 | 1.02 | −1.0 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:26 | 0.00 | 10.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:20 | 0.02 | 12.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.01 | 44.6% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:29 | 0.00 | 12.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 20:14 | 0.05 | 48.0% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:11 | 0.05 | 8.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.00 | 43.3% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.00 | 7.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:36 | 0.00 | 9.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.02 | 30.8% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.12 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:57 | 0.08 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.07 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.04 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.10 | 18.2% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 11:10 | 0.45 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 5:55 | 0.00 | 23.0% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5:00 | 0.00 | 22.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 3.42 | −0.6 | 59:34 |