Tue, Mar 20, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
New York Islanders 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 93% of the time.
90%
TOR winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Parenteau–Moulson–Tavares | Nielsen–Okposo–Bailey | Reasoner–Martin–Niederreiter | Grabner–Ullstrom–Cizikas | Okposo–Bailey–Tavares | MacDonald–Hamonic | Streit–Reese | Staios–Eaton | Eaton–Reese | Streit–MacDonald | Reese–MacDonald | Streit–Hamonic | Reese–Hamonic | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connolly–Steckel–Crabb | 11:060.04–0.56 | 0:500.01–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.04 | 3:280.00–0.00 | 4:040.01–0.11 | 5:140.05–0.46 | |||||||
| MacArthur–Kessel–Bozak | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:410.01–0.09 | 3:340.07–0.24 | 4:020.00–0.17 | 3:260.04–0.03 | 3:190.00–0.08 | 2:420.01–0.14 | 1:080.07–0.09 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||
| Grabovski–Frattin–Ashton | 5:320.04–0.02 | 1:440.00–0.29 | 3:530.01–0.45 | 3:190.09–0.01 | 0:300.05–0.00 | 0:390.02–0.00 | 0:470.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Lombardi–Armstrong–Rosehill | 3:530.14–0.49 | 0:370.01–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:440.14–0.46 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:370.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Lombardi–Kessel–Bozak | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.01 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.16 | |||||||
| MacArthur–Grabovski–Frattin | 1:190.00–0.07 | 1:200.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Lombardi–Grabovski–Frattin | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Gunnarsson | 12:080.05–0.74 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:550.07–0.03 | 0:400.00–0.19 | 6:080.01–0.33 | 3:350.00–0.10 | 5:030.05–0.45 | ||||||
| Liles–Komisarek | 6:560.03–0.09 | 2:060.00–0.14 | 2:240.00–0.11 | 5:500.02–0.12 | 4:230.03–0.01 | 1:430.00–0.15 | |||||||
| Schenn–Gardiner | 1:210.00–0.09 | 3:570.14–0.07 | 2:420.00–0.22 | 1:550.02–0.08 | 3:270.14–0.06 | 2:190.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.16 | |||||
| Komisarek–Gardiner | 1:190.42–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:360.46–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:360.04–0.00 | ||||||||
| Liles–Schenn | 1:200.00–0.03 | 1:190.00–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Liles–Phaneuf | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Liles–Gardiner | 0:350.00–0.20 | 0:450.00–0.20 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 28 | 24:26 | 0:52 | 2:02 | 2 | 8 |
 Mark StreitNYI | 22 | 24:08 | 1:06 | 2:29 | 5 | 1 |
 Travis HamonicNYI | 23 | 22:55 | 1:00 | 1:52 | 2 | 1 |
 John TavaresNYI | 22 | 22:04 | 1:00 | 1:57 | 8 | 1 |
 Andrew MacDonaldNYI | 23 | 21:58 | 0:57 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 PA ParenteauNYI | 23 | 21:27 | 0:56 | 1:57 | 9 | 2 |
 John-Michael LilesTOR | 23 | 21:20 | 0:56 | 1:54 | 1 | 4 |
 Matt MoulsonNYI | 22 | 20:58 | 0:57 | 1:57 | 9 | 0 |
 Mike KomisarekTOR | 27 | 20:36 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 2 | 4 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 27 | 20:29 | 0:46 | 2:02 | 1 | 8 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 24 | 20:14 | 0:51 | 2:04 | 3 | 1 |
 David SteckelTOR | 24 | 19:11 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 2 | 7 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 21 | 18:54 | 0:54 | 1:45 | 3 | 1 |
 Tim ConnollyTOR | 22 | 18:52 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 2 | 3 |
 Dylan ReeseNYI | 21 | 18:38 | 0:53 | 1:38 | 4 | 1 |
 Joey CrabbTOR | 24 | 18:36 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 1 | 6 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 21 | 17:41 | 0:51 | 1:24 | 3 | 1 |
 Clarke MacArthurTOR | 20 | 17:37 | 0:53 | 1:41 | 1 | 1 |
 Frans NielsenNYI | 18 | 16:48 | 0:56 | 2:20 | 5 | 1 |
 Josh BaileyNYI | 19 | 16:14 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 3 | 1 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiTOR | 22 | 14:57 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 |
 Kyle OkposoNYI | 19 | 14:42 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 3 | 1 |
 Mark EatonNYI | 20 | 13:50 | 0:42 | 1:35 | 2 | 1 |
 Steve StaiosNYI | 21 | 13:40 | 0:39 | 1:22 | 1 | 0 |
 Matt FrattinTOR | 18 | 13:21 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 1 | 3 |
 Luke SchennTOR | 22 | 13:14 | 0:36 | 1:17 | 2 | 1 |
 Matthew LombardiTOR | 16 | 12:21 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 2 | 1 |
 David UllstromNYI | 18 | 12:19 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Marty ReasonerNYI | 15 | 12:16 | 0:49 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Nino NiederreiterNYI | 14 | 12:05 | 0:52 | 1:11 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 16 | 11:58 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 16 | 11:14 | 0:42 | 1:01 | 2 | 1 |
 Carter AshtonTOR | 15 | 11:10 | 0:45 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 |
 Michael GrabnerNYI | 17 | 10:46 | 0:38 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Colby ArmstrongTOR | 9 | 5:55 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 0 | 0 |
 Jay RosehillTOR | 9 | 5:00 | 0:33 | 0:50 | 0 | 0 |