Fri, Mar 30, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 75% of the time.
18%
68%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 25:40 | 0.00 | 62.4% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:37 | 0.02 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.05 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:39 | 0.96 | 46.2% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:28 | 0.00 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.08 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17:47 | 0.97 | 50.8% | +35.8 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.52 | 65.2% | +69.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:32 | 0.59 | 49.2% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:29 | 0.38 | 61.5% | +33.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 14:43 | 0.25 | 56.7% | +46.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:15 | 0.08 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:00 | 0.11 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.00 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.04 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.01 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.00 | 71.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.55 | −0.4 | 59:57 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 26:42 | 0.39 | 50.2% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:12 | 0.02 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.05 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:41 | 0.00 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:28 | 0.16 | 62.9% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.07 | 53.5% | +17.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:45 | 0.18 | 29.1% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.24 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:04 | 0.50 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.21 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.01 | 42.8% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:52 | 0.44 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:21 | 0.13 | 69.0% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.00 | 47.0% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.02 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:18 | 0.08 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:42 | 0.06 | 24.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 3.34 | −0.7 | 59:14 |