Tue, Apr 3, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Buffalo Sabres 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.
63%
8%
21%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0.66 | 86.2% | +40.6 |
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:59 | 0.02 | 36.4% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 22:42 | 0.71 | 90.0% | +40.6 |
 John-Michael LilesD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:35 | 0.14 | 52.4% | 0.0 |
 Mike KomisarekD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:21 | 0.02 | 41.9% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.19 | 58.1% | +14.2 |
 Tim ConnollyC · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:24 | 0.06 | 37.9% | +14.2 |
 Matt FrattinRW · #39 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 19:55 | 0.40 | 69.0% | +24.9 |
 Matthew LombardiC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:22 | 0.00 | 15.9% | 0.0 |
 Cody FransonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.03 | 54.8% | 0.0 |
 Joey CrabbRW · #46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.04 | 15.6% | +16.6 |
 Joe ColborneC · #32 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:42 | 0.00 | 33.0% | +14.2 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.01 | 48.3% | +15.7 |
 Clarke MacArthurLW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:01 | 0.22 | 21.8% | +16.6 |
 Mike BrownRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:07 | 0.04 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 Carter AshtonRW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:57 | 0.00 | 13.3% | 0.0 |
 Jay RosehillLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:47 | 0.00 | 85.1% | 0.0 |
 Carl GunnarssonD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:08 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Ben Scrivens#30 | O | 45 | 39 | 6 | .867 | 3.81 | −2.2 | 63:29 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jordan LeopoldD · #3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:54 | 0.42 | 67.3% | +47.3 |
 Alexander SulzerD · #52 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24:35 | 0.43 | 53.8% | +36.1 |
 Derek RoyC · #9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 24:21 | 0.25 | 47.3% | +62.7 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23:47 | 0.25 | 31.3% | +62.7 |
 Andrej SekeraD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 23:19 | 0.05 | 14.3% | 0.0 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22:23 | 0.41 | 76.3% | +56.1 |
 Drew StaffordRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:26 | 0.41 | 70.6% | 0.0 |
 Thomas VanekLW · #26 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 18:51 | 0.38 | 46.7% | +58.7 |
 Robyn RegehrD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.05 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #82 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 18:07 | 0.42 | 76.7% | +56.1 |
 Cody HodgsonC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.04 | 34.2% | +14.7 |
 Ville LeinoLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.11 | 28.4% | 0.0 |
 Brayden McNabbD · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:10 | 0.15 | 91.7% | +10.7 |
 Mike WeberD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:28 | 0.04 | 95.6% | 0.0 |
 Corey TroppRW · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.19 | 65.8% | 0.0 |
 Nathan GerbeC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:07 | 0.13 | 15.5% | 0.0 |
 Patrick KaletaRW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:56 | 0.00 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Cody McCormickC · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:35 | 0.08 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Ryan Miller#30 | W | 25 | 20 | 5 | .800 | 2.54 | −2.5 | 63:12 |