Thu, Apr 5, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.
21%
9%
61%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 25:08 | 0.60 | 78.0% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:30 | 0.09 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:09 | 0.07 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:58 | 0.21 | 83.9% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.29 | 66.5% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:49 | 0.10 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.02 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:39 | 0.07 | 78.0% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:24 | 0.44 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.03 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:32 | 0.00 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.09 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.24 | 89.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.03 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.00 | 54.4% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:27 | 0.11 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:25 | 0.34 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:52 | 0.35 | 85.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 1.92 | −1.1 | 64:01 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:24 | 0.30 | 38.6% | +48.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 25:13 | 0.13 | 30.9% | +59.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 10 | 23:32 | 0.37 | 43.6% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:21 | 0.03 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:55 | 0.06 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:22 | 0.21 | 11.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:22 | 0.01 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:18 | 0.38 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:44 | 0.03 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.07 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.04 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.09 | 63.8% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.00 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.06 | 39.4% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | 0.15 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:04 | 0.00 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:57 | 0.00 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 3.07 | +1.1 | 64:01 |