Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 5, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Malone–StamkosLecavalier–Purcell–BrownThompson–Wyman–PyattSt. Louis–Purcell–StamkosLecavalier–Malone–BrownLecavalier–Malone–PurcellHall–Stamkos–ConnollyThompson–Pyatt–ConnollySt. Louis–Hall–ConnollyLecavalier–Hall–ConnollyHall–Malone–ConnollySt. Louis–Stamkos–ConnollyBrewer–HedmanClark–LeeMikkelson–AulieClark–GervaisGervais–AulieBrewer–AulieGervais–HedmanBrewer–LeeMikkelson–HedmanLee–Mikkelson
Kessel–Frattin–Bozak0:500.00–0.045:250.12–0.081:310.05–0.020:400.00–0.001:220.33–0.000:590.05–0.000:490.00–0.366:130.43–0.181:530.00–0.021:300.05–0.020:370.06–0.001:350.02–0.021:340.00–0.13
Connolly–Steckel–Crabb5:010.09–0.020:430.06–0.001:290.05–0.000:400.00–0.050:390.00–0.004:340.07–0.021:220.01–0.000:480.00–0.000:390.02–0.000:500.00–0.050:430.00–0.00
Lombardi–MacArthur–Ashton1:210.00–0.260:410.00–0.003:150.00–0.220:400.00–0.090:370.00–0.003:560.00–0.251:090.00–0.331:420.00–0.020:300.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Armstrong–Rosehill–Brown0:500.11–0.000:460.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:480.00–0.001:430.02–0.000:410.00–0.00
MacArthur–Kessel–Bozak0:370.02–0.130:300.01–0.020:470.05–0.001:160.04–0.000:310.00–0.00
Lombardi–MacArthur–Brown1:000.02–0.000:440.00–0.01
Komisarek–Phaneuf5:060.02–0.250:370.00–0.041:230.00–0.002:020.05–0.001:080.00–0.050:530.11–0.000:370.00–0.003:490.00–0.085:100.07–0.211:430.00–0.001:190.11–0.000:450.00–0.001:110.00–0.000:310.02–0.000:440.00–0.050:460.00–0.00
Franson–Gardiner1:340.02–0.253:460.05–0.024:020.05–0.070:390.00–0.091:210.00–0.277:470.09–0.271:380.04–0.152:140.04–0.120:350.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:520.00–0.140:310.00–0.31
Liles–Schenn0:390.00–0.133:560.10–0.041:120.00–0.211:380.35–0.150:490.00–0.000:410.00–0.360:400.00–0.002:080.35–0.102:520.00–0.172:380.03–0.021:070.06–0.151:250.03–0.021:250.00–0.160:480.00–0.00
Phaneuf–Gardiner0:470.00–0.01
Liles–Gardiner0:310.00–0.00
Liles–Phaneuf0:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndLombardi FMacArthur FAshton FConnolly FSteckel FCrabb FFrattin FBozak FKessel FArmstrong FBrown FRosehill FFranson DGardiner DPhaneuf DKomisarek DLiles DSchenn DScrivens GPyatt FWyman FThompson FStamkos FMalone FSt. Louis FLecavalier FPurcell FBrown FConnolly FHall FBrewer DHedman DLee DClark DGervais DMikkelson DAulie DRoloson G
TORTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dion PhaneufTOR3525:240:441:5136
Jake GardinerTOR2825:130:541:2763
Steven StamkosTBL3225:080:471:1942
Eric BrewerTBL3324:300:451:4826
Victor HedmanTBL3224:090:451:3935
Phil KesselTOR3223:320:441:4346
Tyler BozakTOR3123:210:451:2336
Martin St. LouisTBL2922:580:481:1352
John-Michael LilesTOR2820:550:451:5431
Clarke MacArthurTOR2620:220:471:4343
Mike KomisarekTOR3120:220:391:2236
Matt FrattinTOR2720:180:451:2444
Cody FransonTOR2819:440:421:2443
Ryan MaloneTBL2318:510:491:1740
Teddy PurcellTBL2418:490:471:3361
Brett ClarkTBL3018:460:381:1745
Brian LeeTBL2718:390:411:2551
Vincent LecavalierTBL2218:240:501:2541
Matthew LombardiTOR2317:310:461:2453
Joey CrabbTOR2316:590:441:4628
Tim ConnollyTOR2516:540:411:1238
Luke SchennTOR2616:240:381:3223
Keith AulieTBL2415:500:401:1530
Nate ThompsonTBL2315:320:411:0616
JT BrownTBL2015:110:461:2430
Tom PyattTBL1914:550:471:1114
David SteckelTOR2414:520:371:2218
Brendan MikkelsonTBL2713:380:301:0923
Bruno GervaisTBL2313:000:341:1533
Adam HallTBL1911:270:361:0054
Brett ConnollyTBL1811:250:381:0842
Carter AshtonTOR1511:010:441:2431
JT WymanTBL1710:520:381:0022
Mike BrownTOR149:110:391:1422
Jay RosehillTOR97:040:471:1420
Colby ArmstrongTOR96:570:461:0420