Wed, Oct 2, 2013·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 1, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.
58%
10%
10%
22%
DET winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 25:17 | 0.13 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:32 | 0.50 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:11 | 0.00 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:22 | 0.33 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:21 | 0.08 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:30 | 0.05 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:11 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.01 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.02 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.08 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.00 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:08 | 0.06 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 55.0% | +12.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.11 | 51.9% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:31 | 0.08 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:04 | 0.00 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:10 | 0.03 | 60.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.35 | +0.3 | 58:50 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 25:41 | 0.05 | 60.6% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:04 | 0.02 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 20:52 | 0.41 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:08 | 0.22 | 71.7% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.00 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.24 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.12 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:58 | 0.06 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.00 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:13 | 0.12 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:47 | 0.10 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:43 | 0.22 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.05 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:09 | 0.15 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:06 | 0.12 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:25 | 0.04 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:36 | 0.32 | 61.6% | +20.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:27 | 0.09 | 60.8% | +20.5 |
| W | 20 | 19 | 1 | .950 | 1.47 | +0.5 | 60:00 |