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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 2, 2013·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 1, Detroit Red Wings 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Vanek–Stafford–HodgsonOtt–Leino–EnnisFlynn–Girgensons–GrigorenkoMcCormick–Porter–KaletaOtt–Stafford–GrigorenkoPorter–Flynn–GirgensonsVanek–Hodgson–FlynnEhrhoff–PysykTallinder–MyersWeber–RistolainenWeber–MyersTallinder–Weber
Datsyuk–Zetterberg–Abdelkader7:540.43–0.030:430.00–0.000:450.03–0.034:030.25–0.112:090.03–0.033:040.10–0.000:420.09–0.00
Bertuzzi–Cleary–Andersson0:440.20–0.015:300.19–0.140:510.00–0.000:380.06–0.002:560.07–0.122:560.10–0.001:290.30–0.041:030.02–0.00
Alfredsson–Weiss–Franzen5:230.13–0.020:310.00–0.051:530.05–0.053:000.05–0.021:400.05–0.000:440.00–0.00
Samuelsson–Miller–Emmerton0:580.04–0.070:390.00–0.003:180.02–0.031:300.02–0.031:140.13–0.002:140.00–0.07
Kronwall–Ericsson7:370.40–0.030:430.05–0.001:470.01–0.000:430.06–0.000:380.00–0.164:150.21–0.113:590.20–0.032:410.09–0.000:520.02–0.00
Kindl–DeKeyser0:400.07–0.003:370.28–0.072:110.07–0.002:430.02–0.033:170.13–0.032:000.00–0.003:190.23–0.070:580.08–0.001:170.00–0.08
Quincey–Smith3:180.02–0.033:330.10–0.141:480.00–0.002:450.00–0.123:300.04–0.023:090.14–0.04
Ericsson–DeKeyser0:570.09–0.00
Kronwall–Kindl0:360.00–0.200:310.00–0.20
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAbdelkader FDatsyuk FZetterberg FAlfredsson FWeiss FFranzen FBertuzzi FAndersson FCleary FMiller FEmmerton FSamuelsson FEricsson DKronwall DDeKeyser DKindl DSmith DQuincey DHoward GHodgson FStafford FVanek FOtt FEnnis FLeino FGrigorenko FGirgensons FFlynn FMcCormick FPorter FKaleta FPysyk DEhrhoff DTallinder DMyers DWeber DRistolainen DMiller G
DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Niklas KronwallDET3025:410:512:0245
Christian EhrhoffBUF2525:171:012:4843
Cody HodgsonBUF2223:321:042:2152
Tyler MyersBUF2323:111:002:3131
Thomas VanekBUF2122:221:042:2140
Mark PysykBUF2421:210:531:4234
Jonathan EricssonDET2721:040:471:1824
Henrik ZetterbergDET2220:520:571:3131
Pavel DatsyukDET2320:080:531:3935
Tyler EnnisBUF1819:301:053:2433
Drew StaffordBUF2019:110:581:4131
Steve OttBUF2017:360:531:3835
Brendan SmithDET2117:150:491:5228
Joakim AnderssonDET2217:040:471:3834
Kyle QuinceyDET2216:590:461:2426
Danny DeKeyserDET2216:580:461:1033
Henrik TallinderBUF2216:550:461:2012
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2216:440:461:2145
Jakub KindlDET2316:390:431:1050
Mike WeberBUF2116:360:471:4124
Daniel AlfredssonDET1916:130:511:4654
Johan FranzenDET1914:470:471:2461
Daniel ClearyDET1814:430:491:3841
Stephen WeissDET1813:540:461:1543
Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF1513:080:531:1922
Ville LeinoBUF1612:380:471:3844
Todd BertuzziDET1712:090:431:0631
Justin AbdelkaderDET1812:060:401:2401
Brian FlynnBUF1612:010:451:1421
Drew MillerDET1611:250:431:1014
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1511:230:461:2021
Cory EmmertonDET159:360:381:1014
Kevin PorterBUF139:310:441:3531
Mikael SamuelssonDET128:270:421:1031
Patrick KaletaBUF118:040:441:0224
Cody McCormickBUF86:100:461:0221