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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 10, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Florida Panthers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Boyes–Fleischmann–BarkovGoc–Versteeg–HuberdeauKopecky–Matthias–WinchesterGomez–Versteeg–HuberdeauGomez–Upshall–CrabbKopecky–Goc–UpshallCrabb–Matthias–WinchesterKopecky–Upshall–MatthiasWeaver–KulikovWhitney–GudbransonCampbell–GilbertCampbell–WeaverGilbert–KulikovWhitney–KulikovWeaver–Whitney
Filppula–Killorn–Panik1:110.01–0.001:340.10–0.002:040.00–0.001:490.00–0.161:080.06–0.020:490.00–0.023:350.08–0.262:190.02–0.004:550.09–0.04
St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos2:100.11–0.003:570.09–0.001:480.02–0.091:290.00–0.104:340.23–0.041:590.00–0.012:500.05–0.070:470.06–0.000:360.00–0.07
Purcell–Johnson–Palat1:360.12–0.001:180.00–0.020:390.03–0.001:060.03–0.000:330.20–0.020:540.00–0.002:330.13–0.020:520.01–0.000:510.20–0.00
Crombeen–Thompson–Labrie0:340.00–0.000:500.00–0.001:050.00–0.000:370.01–0.000:510.00–0.000:520.00–0.002:050.00–0.000:580.00–0.100:470.01–0.000:470.00–0.00
Brewer–Sustr1:260.00–0.000:380.00–0.001:140.00–0.101:220.00–0.002:110.03–0.001:200.01–0.001:310.00–0.000:380.00–0.023:570.00–0.003:000.00–0.003:430.08–0.120:310.00–0.000:510.01–0.00
Carle–Gudas2:590.22–0.042:320.00–0.002:190.02–0.101:450.00–0.191:050.00–0.000:340.00–0.024:290.11–0.192:280.10–0.013:050.02–0.071:000.00–0.060:440.05–0.00
Salo–Hedman2:060.04–0.003:110.17–0.001:380.00–0.000:560.03–0.001:220.06–0.022:130.08–0.023:370.12–0.002:270.01–0.021:470.25–0.000:390.06–0.02
Hedman–Gudas1:050.00–0.061:190.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMalone FSt. Louis FStamkos FKillorn FFilppula FPanik FJohnson FPurcell FPalat FCrombeen FThompson FLabrie FGudas DCarle DSalo DHedman DBrewer DSustr DBishop GHuberdeau FVersteeg FGoc FFleischmann FBarkov FBoyes FGomez FCrabb FUpshall FWinchester FMatthias FKopecky FCampbell DGilbert DKulikov DWeaver DWhitney DGudbranson DMarkstrom GClemmensen G
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brian CampbellFLA2724:540:552:3055
Martin St. LouisTBL2421:280:541:4752
Matt CarleTBL2921:160:441:1642
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2620:520:481:1551
Mike WeaverFLA2120:160:582:5703
Sami SaloTBL2819:430:421:2474
Radko GudasTBL2519:430:471:1622
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2319:280:511:5121
Tom GilbertFLA2318:560:491:4141
Ryan WhitneyFLA2118:240:531:4902
Steven StamkosTBL2218:230:501:4753
Eric BrewerTBL2318:090:471:1514
Dmitry KulikovFLA2118:090:521:4411
Erik GudbransonFLA2017:490:531:4902
Kris VersteegFLA2117:330:501:3320
Victor HedmanTBL2417:300:441:1752
Alex KillornTBL2117:260:501:0741
Richard PanikTBL2317:100:451:0542
Ryan MaloneTBL2016:240:491:4740
Andrej SustrTBL1816:030:541:3912
Marcel GocFLA2015:120:461:4112
Shawn MatthiasFLA1814:280:481:1104
Tomas FleischmannFLA2014:190:430:5951
Brad BoyesFLA1814:110:471:0640
Tomas KopeckyFLA1914:030:441:0914
Scott GomezFLA2014:000:421:1512
Tyler JohnsonTBL2413:590:350:5943
Aleksander BarkovFLA1813:070:441:0140
Scottie UpshallFLA2112:280:361:1514
Jesse WinchesterFLA1811:440:391:0915
Teddy PurcellTBL1811:010:371:3040
Nate ThompsonTBL1710:560:391:2924
Ondrej PalatTBL2010:060:300:5122
B.J. CrombeenTBL149:490:421:0922
Joey CrabbFLA159:490:392:0422
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL118:450:481:0910