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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 27, 2015·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Detroit Red Wings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 54% of the time.

DET winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gerbe–Staal–TerryStaal–Rask–LindholmMcClement–Malone–McGinnStaal–Versteeg–RaskNash–Skinner–LindholmVersteeg–Nash–SkinnerTerry–Nash–McGinnMcClement–Gerbe–TerryNash–Malone–McGinnMcClement–Versteeg–SkinnerStaal–Versteeg–SkinnerHainsey–FaulkJordan–MurphyLiles–PesceLiles–JordanMurphy–Pesce
Zetterberg–Abdelkader–Nyquist5:360.27–0.191:560.06–0.122:450.01–0.021:100.02–0.000:310.00–0.009:130.49–0.060:510.00–0.002:020.00–0.13
Tatar–Pulkkinen–Larkin3:160.24–0.040:410.00–0.000:430.08–0.490:500.03–0.000:420.00–0.000:570.00–0.001:350.00–0.002:090.08–0.003:520.08–0.530:330.08–0.00
Helm–Sheahan–Glendening2:590.04–0.080:480.10–0.001:190.00–0.011:060.15–0.021:180.10–0.014:290.13–0.020:540.03–0.080:330.04–0.01
Miller–Andersson–Jurco1:070.00–0.001:240.10–0.000:370.00–0.070:380.00–0.000:510.22–0.001:180.02–0.022:190.08–0.022:070.29–0.050:380.00–0.00
Miller–Andersson–Glendening0:410.00–0.00
Helm–Glendening–Larkin0:540.01–0.02
Kronwall–Ericsson1:550.00–0.013:590.30–0.142:020.08–0.002:010.01–0.100:520.00–0.021:070.00–0.076:460.34–0.034:010.03–0.122:110.03–0.070:330.08–0.00
Marchenko–DeKeyser1:050.00–0.041:500.00–0.051:090.01–0.491:230.10–0.002:150.08–0.011:580.16–0.020:450.00–0.000:550.00–0.005:080.11–0.082:130.16–0.003:340.04–0.531:300.08–0.00
Kindl–Smith4:540.15–0.082:240.09–0.001:350.02–0.000:420.00–0.000:590.22–0.002:170.03–0.004:360.08–0.003:490.23–0.080:320.00–0.01
Smith–DeKeyser0:330.00–0.051:040.00–0.00
Kindl–Marchenko0:450.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:410.00–0.01
Kronwall–Kindl0:330.01–0.001:040.09–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAbdelkader FNyquist FZetterberg FTatar FPulkkinen FLarkin FGlendening FHelm FSheahan FJurco FAndersson FMiller FEricsson DKronwall DDeKeyser DSmith DKindl DMarchenko DMrazek GStaal FLindholm FRask FStaal FGerbe FTerry FNash FVersteeg FSkinner FMcClement FMcGinn FMalone FPesce DHainsey DLiles DFaulk DMurphy DJordan DWard G
DETCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkCAR3125:210:491:3762
Niklas KronwallDET3322:510:421:2344
Ron HainseyCAR2922:210:461:3862
Danny DeKeyserDET3021:230:431:2926
Eric StaalCAR2620:040:462:0362
Brendan SmithDET2519:400:471:3632
Jakub KindlDET2519:350:471:1651
John-Michael LilesCAR3119:310:381:2221
Justin AbdelkaderDET2419:060:481:3623
Jonathan EricssonDET2818:590:411:1613
Henrik ZetterbergDET2518:340:451:1033
Ryan MurphyCAR2518:200:441:3521
Dylan LarkinDET2017:440:531:3331
Victor RaskCAR2517:290:421:0162
Gustav NyquistDET2417:110:431:1023
Elias LindholmCAR2316:510:441:2970
Riley NashCAR2516:480:401:2954
Nathan GerbeCAR2016:100:491:4413
Michal JordanCAR2115:590:461:5110
Alexey MarchenkoDET2415:490:401:0304
Brett PesceCAR2815:400:340:5923
Luke GlendeningDET2215:140:421:0414
Kris VersteegCAR2315:140:401:1132
Teemu PulkkinenDET2115:100:431:1541
Chris TerryCAR2314:480:391:5931
Drew MillerDET2113:440:391:1113
Jay McClementCAR2013:440:411:2023
Jordan StaalCAR2413:370:340:5414
Darren HelmDET1913:160:421:1513
Riley SheahanDET1913:100:421:3303
Jeff SkinnerCAR1713:050:461:2931
Tomas TatarDET1912:550:411:0031
Brock McGinnCAR1812:280:421:0621
Joakim AnderssonDET1811:160:381:0512
Tomas JurcoDET149:100:391:0111
Brad MaloneCAR158:510:351:0111