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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 11, 2015·Honda Center, Anaheim

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Anaheim Ducks 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 51% of the time.

ANA winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

ANA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Rask–Di GiuseppeStaal–Nestrasil–NordstromStaal–Versteeg–LindholmMcClement–Terry–MaloneHainsey–FaulkLiles–PesceSlavin–HanifinFaulk–HanifinLiles–FaulkSlavin–PesceFaulk–Slavin
Getzlaf–Perry–Rakell2:060.04–0.092:110.13–0.002:290.02–0.001:210.02–0.005:010.17–0.201:480.00–0.011:060.00–0.00
Horcoff–Cogliano–Hagelin0:570.00–0.471:270.10–0.023:120.18–0.000:580.11–0.001:570.03–0.002:190.10–0.460:580.11–0.000:480.06–0.00
Kesler–Perry–Cogliano2:120.30–0.001:080.09–0.001:100.00–0.333:160.22–0.330:500.07–0.001:150.34–0.00
Kesler–Santorelli–Silfverberg2:550.23–0.000:410.00–0.031:250.04–0.001:490.17–0.001:380.00–0.001:180.09–0.03
Getzlaf–Stewart–Maroon1:190.08–0.070:500.00–0.002:080.25–0.111:140.07–0.071:240.00–0.071:110.02–0.00
Hagelin–Silfverberg–Rakell1:070.02–0.000:360.01–0.000:420.14–0.00
Kesler–Maroon–Silfverberg1:030.15–0.001:320.17–0.00
Horcoff–Stewart–Maroon0:430.00–0.070:400.07–0.000:430.00–0.07
Horcoff–Silfverberg–Rakell0:500.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Kesler–Stewart–Maroon0:460.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Thompson–Stewart–Maroon0:320.00–0.00
Santorelli–Stewart–Hagelin1:000.00–0.011:040.00–0.01
Perry–Maroon–Rakell0:410.00–0.010:410.00–0.01
Kesler–Santorelli–Stewart0:590.00–0.00
Bieksa–Fowler6:240.39–0.603:180.04–0.023:310.00–0.171:010.00–0.005:120.17–0.064:330.07–0.312:480.04–0.521:050.02–0.14
Manson–Lindholm3:390.33–0.021:580.17–0.005:010.15–0.361:580.11–0.005:100.20–0.352:020.14–0.004:150.61–0.001:010.09–0.001:240.00–0.001:000.09–0.04
Stoner–Vatanen5:220.31–0.041:520.04–0.003:470.25–0.172:200.14–0.064:320.22–0.003:490.02–0.100:350.23–0.110:490.00–0.01
Vatanen–Lindholm1:060.00–0.000:360.07–0.000:400.07–0.001:080.12–0.00
Vatanen–Manson1:100.09–0.071:020.07–0.07
Vatanen–Fowler1:050.01–0.000:330.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPerry FGetzlaf FRakell FCogliano FHorcoff FHagelin FKesler FSantorelli FSilfverberg FMaroon FStewart FThompson FStoner DVatanen DBieksa DFowler DManson DLindholm DGibson GAndersen GStaal FNestrasil FNordstrom FVersteeg FStaal FLindholm FDi Giuseppe FRask FSkinner FMcClement FTerry FMalone FLiles DPesce DFaulk DHainsey DHanifin DSlavin DLack G
ANACARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkCAR2926:220:552:2442
Hampus LindholmANA2922:060:462:3453
Cam FowlerANA2821:580:471:1435
Kevin BieksaANA2621:380:501:4353
Ryan KeslerANA2621:360:501:4324
John-Michael LilesCAR2821:090:451:3915
Sami VatanenANA2520:560:501:1753
Corey PerryANA2419:390:491:3541
Josh MansonANA2719:150:431:2634
Ryan GetzlafANA2518:570:451:3552
Brett PesceCAR2718:430:421:3914
Noah HanifinCAR2318:210:481:5741
Ron HainseyCAR2418:000:451:2933
Jordan StaalCAR2417:540:451:3914
Jeff SkinnerCAR2217:530:491:2313
Victor RaskCAR2417:370:441:2133
Jaccob SlavinCAR2417:370:441:5822
Elias LindholmCAR2917:110:361:0652
Joakim NordstromCAR2016:570:511:5014
Eric StaalCAR2916:510:351:0671
Andrej NestrasilCAR2116:210:471:1722
Rickard RakellANA2316:200:431:3541
Jakob SilfverbergANA2315:420:411:1822
Patrick MaroonANA1514:440:591:3322
Andrew CoglianoANA2014:080:421:0614
Clayton StonerANA1814:070:471:1720
Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR1913:540:441:0912
Kris VersteegCAR2413:450:341:0631
Chris StewartANA1513:340:541:4332
Carl HagelinANA2013:190:401:1423
Shawn HorcoffANA1812:470:431:1423
Mike SantorelliANA1512:420:511:4331
Jay McClementCAR1110:020:551:5703
Brad MaloneCAR109:300:571:5712
Chris TerryCAR97:530:531:5702
Nate ThompsonANA21:340:470:5000