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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 9, 2017·Madison Square Garden, New York

Nashville Predators 3, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 50% of the time.

NYR winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Neal–Johansen–ForsbergWilson–Jarnkrok–ArvidssonFisher–Smith–AbergFiddler–McLeod–WatsonNeal–Wilson–JohansenSubban–EkholmJosi–EllisWeber–IrwinJosi–Irwin
Kreider–Zuccarello–Zibanejad3:380.40–0.215:060.23–0.222:450.25–0.001:370.02–0.092:260.00–0.019:140.58–0.531:390.22–0.000:560.09–0.00
Grabner–Hayes–Miller7:030.37–0.491:010.00–0.071:500.25–0.051:500.00–0.005:280.17–0.503:360.10–0.073:350.35–0.06
Nash–Stepan–Vesey1:440.06–0.002:130.12–0.003:190.00–0.121:480.00–0.354:550.08–0.351:580.00–0.072:370.10–0.05
Lindberg–Fast–Buchnevich3:020.09–0.162:110.00–0.011:180.02–0.013:470.01–0.170:490.00–0.002:330.11–0.01
Nash–Stepan–Fast0:360.00–0.000:530.00–0.02
McDonagh–Holden12:240.83–0.731:420.12–0.091:060.14–0.001:300.00–0.000:340.02–0.008:560.27–0.513:520.32–0.305:020.51–0.01
Klein–Skjei5:030.17–0.195:140.25–0.053:240.04–0.113:480.00–0.086:310.11–0.234:290.25–0.05
Staal–Clendening0:540.00–0.004:530.02–0.174:050.11–0.011:260.00–0.355:090.00–0.476:040.13–0.071:500.02–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMiller FHayes FGrabner FStepan FVesey FNash FKreider FZuccarello FZibanejad FFast FLindberg FBuchnevich FKlein DSkjei DHolden DMcDonagh DClendening DStaal DLundqvist GWatson FMcLeod FFiddler FForsberg FNeal FJohansen FWilson FJarnkrok FArvidsson FFisher FSmith FAberg FEllis DJosi DEkholm DSubban DIrwin DWeber DSaros G
NYRNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan McDonaghNYR3126:250:511:3437
P.K. SubbanNSH2724:400:551:5417
Nick HoldenNYR3023:560:481:2637
Mattias EkholmNSH2722:290:501:3517
Ryan EllisNSH2822:200:481:4834
Roman JosiNSH2922:160:461:4823
Ryan JohansenNSH2421:340:541:2562
James NealNSH2519:320:471:3762
Filip ForsbergNSH2419:160:481:1972
Mats ZuccarelloNYR2318:560:491:3643
Kevin KleinNYR2718:130:401:1624
Chris KreiderNYR2218:070:491:2642
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2318:010:471:5941
Brady SkjeiNYR2717:500:401:1222
Mika ZibanejadNYR2317:300:461:3643
Calle JarnkrokNSH2417:240:441:4151
Derek StepanNYR2416:460:421:3164
Marc StaalNYR2716:430:371:2863
Colin WilsonNSH2316:210:431:4050
Kevin HayesNYR2516:040:391:1834
Michael GrabnerNYR2615:390:361:1033
J.T. MillerNYR2615:370:361:0334
Rick NashNYR2415:180:381:1664
Adam ClendeningNYR2415:150:381:2163
Mike FisherNSH2615:020:351:1346
Pontus AbergNSH2014:100:431:0824
Matt IrwinNSH2014:100:431:0230
Craig SmithNSH2013:360:411:1123
Yannick WeberNSH1913:210:421:1840
Jimmy VeseyNYR2012:370:381:3162
Jesper FastNYR1812:250:411:0810
Pavel BuchnevichNYR1710:260:371:0410
Vernon FiddlerNSH169:120:351:0604
Austin WatsonNSH159:080:371:3403
Oscar LindbergNYR158:510:350:5300
Cody McLeodNSH138:130:381:2100