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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 14, 2017·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Ottawa Senators 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.

OTT winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palat–Kucherov–PointKillorn–Gourde–DrouinDumont–McKegg–BrownHedman–DotchinStralman–GarrisonCoburn–SustrStralman–Hedman
Turris–Smith–Dzingel2:430.05–0.222:250.04–0.091:160.19–0.002:490.28–0.283:050.04–0.071:440.20–0.00
Kelly–Stalberg–Wingels1:240.00–0.144:280.09–0.062:550.12–0.023:170.03–0.074:160.21–0.061:080.00–0.07
Pyatt–Hoffman–Pageau5:540.11–0.041:250.00–0.000:320.06–0.003:560.08–0.002:480.09–0.001:030.00–0.03
Burrows–Ryan–Brassard1:240.01–0.142:330.00–0.441:460.16–0.071:340.00–0.080:310.00–0.044:030.17–0.51
Pyatt–Smith–Pageau2:040.29–0.041:040.11–0.04
Ryan–Turris–Dzingel0:300.00–0.060:350.02–0.00
Burrows–Brassard–Hoffman0:370.00–0.000:500.00–0.301:240.00–0.300:320.00–0.00
Turris–Hoffman–Dzingel0:370.00–0.090:330.00–0.020:360.00–0.09
Methot–Karlsson12:540.46–0.651:540.00–0.030:470.00–0.008:140.26–0.404:290.03–0.163:280.06–0.150:360.00–0.00
Phaneuf–Ceci0:500.00–0.0010:030.11–0.762:270.24–0.003:340.07–0.137:360.24–0.063:060.06–0.56
Wideman–Claesson4:260.18–0.402:050.00–0.021:110.00–0.342:300.18–0.05
Phaneuf–Karlsson0:590.09–0.010:330.00–0.001:010.28–0.001:100.09–0.01
Karlsson–Claesson0:330.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPyatt FPageau FHoffman FStalberg FWingels FKelly FTurris FSmith FDzingel FBurrows FRyan FBrassard FMethot DKarlsson DPhaneuf DCeci DClaesson DWideman DCondon GPalat FPoint FKucherov FDrouin FGourde FKillorn FFroese FErne FBrown FMcKegg FDumont FDotchin DHedman DStralman DGarrison DCoburn DSustr DWitkowski DVasilevskiy G
OTTTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2930:201:032:3963
Victor HedmanTBL2924:230:501:3034
Anton StralmanTBL3023:260:471:1937
Dion PhaneufOTT2922:480:471:4682
Ondrej PalatTBL2922:400:471:4053
Cody CeciOTT2722:150:491:4664
Nikita KucherovTBL2722:040:491:4942
Brayden PointTBL2921:570:451:2745
Marc MethotOTT2421:320:541:3113
Jason GarrisonTBL2521:040:511:2305
Yanni GourdeTBL2520:200:491:2562
Kyle TurrisOTT2520:140:491:2961
Alex KillornTBL2420:010:501:4763
Jonathan DrouinTBL2419:480:501:5651
Jake DotchinTBL2419:130:481:2642
Ryan DzingelOTT2218:140:501:1941
Mike HoffmanOTT2017:490:531:5552
Braydon CoburnTBL2117:350:501:2202
Zack SmithOTT2217:240:471:2022
Andrej SustrTBL2017:010:511:2202
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2116:310:471:3325
Tom PyattOTT2015:540:481:4124
Chris KellyOTT1713:580:491:1421
Fredrik ClaessonOTT1813:540:461:3231
Viktor StalbergOTT1613:510:521:1721
Derick BrassardOTT1913:420:431:1552
Chris WidemanOTT1713:310:481:2111
Alexandre BurrowsOTT1813:180:441:2350
Bobby RyanOTT1612:520:481:2712
Tommy WingelsOTT1512:180:491:2021
JT BrownTBL1711:470:421:1005
Gabriel DumontTBL1411:220:491:1405
Greg McKeggTBL1511:040:441:2306
Adam ErneTBL138:300:390:5621
Byron FroeseTBL148:280:360:5811
Luke WitkowskiTBL137:510:361:0311