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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 3, 2018·Madison Square Garden, New York

Chicago Blackhawks 5, New York Rangers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 69% of the time.

NYR winsCHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kane–Hartman–SchmaltzToews–Saad–HinostrozaSharp–DeBrincat–KampfBouma–Wingels–HaydenKeith–OesterleFranson–ForslingSeabrook–MurphySeabrook–ForslingFranson–OesterleFranson–Murphy
Nash–Grabner–Hayes3:020.17–0.196:050.17–0.401:520.17–0.124:240.08–0.361:480.15–0.003:280.10–0.280:300.12–0.000:340.00–0.06
Zuccarello–Zibanejad–Miller3:530.00–0.451:310.36–0.271:240.04–0.001:420.05–0.003:310.03–0.491:500.02–0.023:190.40–0.20
Desharnais–Vesey–Buchnevich1:020.07–0.151:280.00–0.223:070.10–0.002:050.00–0.102:340.00–0.134:120.10–0.000:530.00–0.18
Carey–Fast–Nieves1:020.06–0.060:320.00–0.001:460.00–0.302:180.09–0.042:040.06–0.041:040.09–0.122:000.00–0.06
McDonagh–Holden7:300.17–0.522:160.42–0.121:240.00–0.071:390.03–0.005:280.11–0.162:010.10–0.005:020.44–0.36
Shattenkirk–Smith1:040.07–0.152:520.07–0.162:430.02–0.101:420.00–0.304:040.10–0.060:350.00–0.000:490.05–0.16
Staal–Skjei0:530.00–0.344:110.10–0.291:020.04–0.002:390.08–0.321:020.00–0.022:410.06–0.241:000.00–0.06
Staal–Shattenkirk1:190.08–0.121:030.09–0.001:350.17–0.000:440.00–0.12
Smith–Skjei0:490.00–0.010:310.00–0.000:460.00–0.04
Shattenkirk–McDonagh0:360.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Staal–Smith0:390.00–0.180:500.00–0.06
Holden–Skjei0:330.00–0.150:320.00–0.180:400.00–0.02
Smith–McDonagh0:590.00–0.141:070.00–0.14
Shattenkirk–Skjei1:180.00–0.051:180.00–0.05
McDonagh–Skjei0:300.12–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHayes FGrabner FNash FMiller FZuccarello FZibanejad FVesey FDesharnais FBuchnevich FCarey FFast FNieves FStaal DSkjei DMcDonagh DHolden DShattenkirk DSmith DLundqvist GToews FSaad FHinostroza FSchmaltz FHartman FKane FSharp FDeBrincat FKampf FWingels FBouma FHayden FKeith DOesterle DMurphy DSeabrook DFranson DForsling DGlass G
NYRCHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Duncan KeithCHI3225:070:471:2834
Ryan McDonaghNYR2824:280:521:5912
Kevin ShattenkirkNYR2723:520:532:03101
Jordan OesterleCHI3023:270:471:1022
Gustav ForslingCHI2720:110:451:5743
Mats ZuccarelloNYR2319:480:521:4991
Nick SchmaltzCHI2619:310:451:3314
J.T. MillerNYR2318:550:491:4992
Mika ZibanejadNYR2318:460:491:4981
Jonathan ToewsCHI2718:340:411:5834
Rick NashNYR2718:320:411:3636
Brady SkjeiNYR2818:260:401:4914
Pavel BuchnevichNYR2018:220:551:5981
Patrick KaneCHI1917:520:561:4512
Nick HoldenNYR2417:110:431:2602
Brent SeabrookCHI3117:030:331:0034
Connor MurphyCHI3016:500:340:5823
Jimmy VeseyNYR1915:540:501:1721
Cody FransonCHI2015:500:481:1632
David DesharnaisNYR1915:490:501:2421
Kevin HayesNYR2515:250:371:3137
Brandon SaadCHI2415:050:381:0734
Brendan SmithNYR2315:030:391:0340
Ryan HartmanCHI1814:470:491:2811
David KampfCHI2314:320:381:2226
Michael GrabnerNYR2314:310:381:1237
Marc StaalNYR2213:150:361:3125
Vinnie HinostrozaCHI1812:540:431:1040
Tommy WingelsCHI2312:260:321:0313
Jesper FastNYR2012:150:371:3411
Lance BoumaCHI2111:550:341:2712
Alex DeBrincatCHI1411:260:491:4432
John HaydenCHI1810:240:351:0501
Patrick SharpCHI1310:130:471:2212
Boo NievesNYR159:360:381:3410
Paul CareyNYR149:190:401:1510