Wed, Apr 4, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 62% of the time.
28%
11%
9%
53%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27:00 | 0.07 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:30 | 0.06 | 53.2% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.16 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.05 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:26 | 0.54 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.06 | 53.7% | +17.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.25 | 29.2% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.01 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.03 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:13 | 0.00 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 15:59 | 0.28 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 14:19 | 0.77 | 40.8% | +24.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 14:01 | 0.33 | 59.8% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.16 | 75.2% | +17.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:35 | 0.10 | 55.1% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:51 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.25 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:23 | 0.02 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.02 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:56 | 0.06 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:37 | 0.09 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:32 | 0.29 | 73.4% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:12 | 0.04 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:04 | 0.23 | 43.9% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:50 | 0.48 | 71.7% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:07 | 0.16 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.11 | 29.1% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:20 | 0.33 | 60.2% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:19 | 0.09 | 61.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.02 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.03 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.00 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.16 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:38 | 0.02 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:34 | 0.10 | 43.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.26 | −0.7 | 58:34 |