Wed, Apr 4, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 62% of the time.
28%
11%
9%
53%
BUF winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hoffman–Duchene–White | Pyatt–Smith–Paajarvi | Burrows–Dzingel–Pageau | Burrows–McCormick–Chlapik | Smith–Paajarvi–Dzingel | Ryan–Pyatt–Pageau | Dzingel–Pageau–Chlapik | McCormick–White–Chlapik | Hoffman–Duchene–Paajarvi | Paajarvi–McCormick–Chlapik | Burrows–Smith–Dzingel | Ceci–Wolanin | Borowiecki–Chabot | Claesson–Harpur | Claesson–Chabot | Ceci–Harpur | Borowiecki–Ceci | Borowiecki–Harpur | Borowiecki–Claesson | Ceci–Chabot | Claesson–Ceci | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly–Wilson–Reinhart | 4:500.12–0.08 | 1:020.03–0.00 | 1:130.58–0.06 | 0:370.07–0.06 | 0:410.00–0.16 | 0:560.04–0.00 | 0:430.04–0.00 | 3:400.71–0.08 | 3:590.15–0.22 | 0:410.00–0.08 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:430.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Pominville–Eichel–Mittelstadt | 2:170.07–0.01 | 2:130.02–0.13 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:540.01–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:570.14–0.00 | 2:140.02–0.00 | 2:200.01–0.02 | 1:000.07–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.01 | 1:000.00–0.13 | ||||||||
| Okposo–Rodrigues–Nylander | 0:460.07–0.00 | 1:180.02–0.01 | 1:400.02–0.02 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:460.23–0.00 | 2:180.02–0.00 | 1:070.07–0.06 | 2:350.24–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.01 | 0:410.02–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Nolan–Larsson–Baptiste | 2:100.16–0.00 | 1:100.02–0.10 | 2:100.16–0.07 | 0:510.00–0.09 | 1:160.02–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.01 | 0:380.06–0.16 | ||||||||||||||
| Okposo–Nylander–Mittelstadt | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.47 | 2:090.00–0.47 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Pominville–Eichel–Rodrigues | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:190.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Pominville–Larsson–Eichel | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Okposo–O'Reilly–Reinhart | 0:380.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Guhle–Nelson | 2:030.05–0.00 | 2:150.04–0.13 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:500.04–0.00 | 2:540.23–0.00 | 5:160.10–0.06 | 3:040.00–0.02 | 0:430.04–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:490.06–0.16 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.13 | |||
| Scandella–Ristolainen | 8:540.38–0.11 | 1:010.00–0.01 | 0:420.57–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:040.04–0.00 | 5:520.77–0.12 | 2:270.17–0.00 | 2:260.01–0.13 | 2:050.07–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.01 | |||||||||||
| Falk–Beaulieu | 0:540.04–0.01 | 1:590.05–0.02 | 1:530.03–0.15 | 2:150.02–0.18 | 1:010.00–0.36 | 0:590.23–0.00 | 4:090.03–0.52 | 1:390.02–0.31 | 2:340.25–0.02 | 0:490.04–0.01 | 0:480.01–0.02 | 0:430.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Scandella–Guhle | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Ristolainen–Guhle | 0:510.00–0.11 | 0:530.00–0.11 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cody CeciOTT | 31 | 27:00 | 0:52 | 2:18 | 4 | 2 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 27 | 25:23 | 0:56 | 2:03 | 4 | 1 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 26 | 20:59 | 0:48 | 1:43 | 6 | 3 |
 Brendan GuhleBUF | 25 | 20:56 | 0:50 | 2:04 | 1 | 3 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 26 | 20:37 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 1 | 3 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 27 | 20:32 | 0:46 | 1:38 | 6 | 5 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 28 | 20:30 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 0 | 4 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 27 | 20:12 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 7 | 1 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 25 | 19:20 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 0 | 3 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 20 | 19:04 | 0:57 | 2:05 | 2 | 1 |
 Fredrik ClaessonOTT | 30 | 18:59 | 0:38 | 1:36 | 2 | 7 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 24 | 18:50 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 7 | 4 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 21 | 18:26 | 0:53 | 1:31 | 1 | 3 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 25 | 18:07 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 5 | 1 |
 Christian WolaninOTT | 21 | 17:19 | 0:49 | 1:58 | 2 | 1 |
 Matt DucheneOTT | 21 | 17:00 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 0 | 6 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 20 | 16:58 | 0:51 | 1:37 | 0 | 5 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 22 | 16:33 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 23 | 16:29 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 4 | 0 |
 Magnus PaajarviOTT | 19 | 16:21 | 0:52 | 2:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Ben HarpurOTT | 23 | 16:13 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 1 | 4 |
 Colin WhiteOTT | 20 | 16:10 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 0 | 5 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 23 | 15:59 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 3 | 4 |
 Scott WilsonBUF | 21 | 15:20 | 0:44 | 1:03 | 4 | 5 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 21 | 15:19 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 1 | 2 |
 Alexandre BurrowsOTT | 19 | 14:19 | 0:45 | 1:04 | 2 | 0 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 17 | 14:01 | 0:49 | 1:04 | 2 | 1 |
 Nathan BeaulieuBUF | 20 | 13:28 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 0 | 1 |
 Filip ChlapikOTT | 16 | 13:26 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 1 | 0 |
 Justin FalkBUF | 20 | 13:10 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 0 | 3 |
 Max McCormickOTT | 15 | 12:35 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 2 | 0 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 18 | 12:26 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 1 | 4 |
 Alex NylanderBUF | 15 | 12:22 | 0:49 | 1:10 | 1 | 0 |
 Nick BaptisteBUF | 13 | 8:38 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Jordan NolanBUF | 11 | 7:34 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 0 | 1 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 5 | 2:51 | 0:34 | 0:46 | 1 | 1 |