Sun, Nov 4, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Ottawa Senators 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.
33%
9%
51%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 26:53 | 0.34 | 75.1% | +124.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 23:35 | 0.06 | 68.3% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:35 | 0.32 | 85.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.06 | 87.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 17:45 | 0.33 | 85.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.03 | 79.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.05 | 84.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:35 | 0.47 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.37 | 58.1% | +110.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:37 | 0.49 | 52.9% | +46.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:38 | 0.10 | 44.6% | +63.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.18 | 58.5% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.05 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:23 | 0.39 | 76.3% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.29 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.10 | 48.3% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.08 | 76.6% | +29.2 |
| W | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 3.17 | +0.2 | 58:54 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22:07 | 1.45 | 10.4% | +12.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:46 | 0.25 | 26.3% | +41.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:57 | 0.35 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 20:56 | 0.16 | 33.1% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20:54 | 0.07 | 28.7% | +56.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.09 | 27.6% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:59 | 0.00 | 21.5% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:30 | 0.00 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.27 | 30.1% | +41.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:37 | 0.06 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:31 | 0.10 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.00 | 27.4% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.14 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.00 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:53 | 0.18 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:08 | 0.04 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 7:01 | 0.02 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:35 | 0.00 | 78.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 45 | 41 | 4 | .911 | 3.73 | −0.3 | 59:36 |