Sat, Nov 10, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 68% of the time.
25%
8%
60%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Stone–White–Tkachuk | Ryan–Boedker–Tierney | Pyatt–Paajarvi–McCormick | Duchene–Dzingel–White | Duchene–Stone–Dzingel | Ryan–Duchene–Dzingel | Duchene–Dzingel–Tkachuk | Duchene–Stone–White | Boedker–Duchene–Dzingel | Ryan–Duchene–Tierney | Borowiecki–Jaros | Ceci–Chabot | Ceci–Lajoie | DeMelo–Lajoie | DeMelo–Chabot | Wideman–Chabot | Wideman–Ceci | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnson–Gourde–Point | 5:590.06–0.20 | 1:310.08–0.14 | 0:550.03–0.00 | 1:080.17–0.00 | 6:330.11–0.00 | 1:390.13–0.20 | 0:460.08–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Miller | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:510.04–0.04 | 3:060.15–0.01 | 0:570.06–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:090.04–0.00 | 4:360.19–0.05 | 4:250.07–0.32 | 0:390.00–0.01 | ||||||||
| Callahan–Paquette–Martel | 0:520.00–0.00 | 3:340.11–0.12 | 2:550.10–0.07 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:540.19–0.11 | 1:370.00–0.04 | 1:250.04–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.14 | 1:250.10–0.00 | |||||||
| Killorn–Joseph–Cirelli | 0:450.00–0.05 | 1:520.09–0.00 | 1:050.14–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.10 | 1:260.11–0.08 | 0:300.07–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:470.14–0.13 | 3:080.26–0.10 | 1:370.18–0.04 | |||||||
| Killorn–Johnson–Joseph | 1:120.00–0.14 | 1:330.03–0.14 | |||||||||||||||
| Gourde–Point–Cirelli | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Coburn–Sergachev | 1:300.00–0.00 | 1:020.14–0.11 | 1:050.04–0.00 | 1:560.14–0.07 | 1:480.08–0.25 | 0:380.04–0.03 | 2:040.11–0.11 | 1:240.11–0.03 | 1:500.12–0.00 | 1:230.14–0.00 | 1:490.03–0.18 | 0:400.04–0.00 | |||||
| McDonagh–Koekkoek | 1:570.00–0.00 | 1:500.04–0.00 | 1:240.07–0.01 | 0:470.00–0.08 | 2:030.04–0.00 | 1:520.06–0.00 | 2:010.07–0.10 | 1:420.00–0.05 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Girardi–Hedman | 2:140.00–0.25 | 1:540.04–0.00 | 1:240.08–0.00 | 2:050.00–0.00 | 2:390.08–0.20 | 0:510.00–0.09 | 0:410.04–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Girardi–McDonagh | 3:250.06–0.09 | 1:320.03–0.00 | 0:300.07–0.00 | 2:000.06–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:190.03–0.09 | 1:430.19–0.00 | 0:300.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Hedman–Koekkoek | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.04 | 1:500.06–0.07 | 1:100.08–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.22 | 1:130.00–0.14 | 0:450.06–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Hedman–Sergachev | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:550.03–0.00 | 0:480.17–0.00 | 1:480.03–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Coburn–Girardi | 0:390.11–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:300.02–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:390.11–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Coburn–McDonagh | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.07 | ||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Hedman | 0:380.00–0.01 | 1:060.00–0.05 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cody CeciOTT | 35 | 24:07 | 0:41 | 1:38 | 3 | 4 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 27 | 23:25 | 0:52 | 1:49 | 3 | 6 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 22:23 | 0:48 | 1:42 | 6 | 3 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 28 | 22:23 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 3 | 4 |
 Matt DucheneOTT | 22 | 21:56 | 1:00 | 2:15 | 5 | 2 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 34 | 21:27 | 0:38 | 2:10 | 3 | 2 |
 Maxime LajoieOTT | 28 | 20:57 | 0:45 | 2:14 | 5 | 4 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 26 | 18:49 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 5 | 9 |
 Colin WhiteOTT | 25 | 18:49 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 4 | 2 |
 Dan GirardiTBL | 22 | 18:06 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 2 | 5 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 23 | 17:57 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 5 | 4 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 22 | 17:50 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 7 | 4 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 20 | 17:47 | 0:53 | 1:24 | 4 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 19 | 17:12 | 0:54 | 1:52 | 2 | 4 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 19 | 16:57 | 0:54 | 1:52 | 2 | 4 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 26 | 16:49 | 0:39 | 2:42 | 8 | 3 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 21 | 16:39 | 0:48 | 2:18 | 4 | 1 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 23 | 16:35 | 0:43 | 1:45 | 5 | 6 |
 J.T. MillerTBL | 19 | 16:29 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 3 | 4 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 19 | 16:14 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 2 | 4 |
 Slater KoekkoekTBL | 20 | 16:09 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 2 | 4 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 21 | 16:08 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 6 | 2 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 25 | 16:00 | 0:38 | 1:25 | 3 | 3 |
 Dylan DeMeloOTT | 24 | 14:35 | 0:36 | 1:31 | 2 | 5 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 18 | 14:33 | 0:49 | 2:11 | 4 | 0 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 23 | 14:17 | 0:37 | 1:17 | 6 | 3 |
 Mikkel BoedkerOTT | 21 | 13:39 | 0:39 | 1:36 | 9 | 2 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 17 | 13:16 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 3 | 0 |
 Christian JarosOTT | 20 | 13:15 | 0:40 | 1:25 | 4 | 1 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 19 | 12:56 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 2 | 5 |
 Magnus PaajarviOTT | 18 | 12:17 | 0:41 | 1:27 | 1 | 4 |
 Danick MartelTBL | 16 | 12:06 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 3 | 0 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 20 | 11:56 | 0:36 | 1:14 | 1 | 2 |
 Max McCormickOTT | 15 | 10:46 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 1 | 0 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 19 | 10:29 | 0:33 | 0:56 | 3 | 2 |
 Chris WidemanOTT | 11 | 7:25 | 0:40 | 1:36 | 2 | 1 |