Tue, Feb 12, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Calgary Flames 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.
61%
8%
9%
21%
TBL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 23:35 | 0.13 | 23.1% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.03 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.06 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:41 | 0.05 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:31 | 0.00 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.27 | 16.0% | +22.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.25 | 21.4% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:37 | 0.13 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 16:32 | 0.00 | 15.0% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.12 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.05 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.13 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.00 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.00 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.16 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.04 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.06 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:51 | 0.16 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 21 | 6 | .778 | 2.75 | −3.2 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:52 | 0.05 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.20 | 50.7% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:11 | 0.51 | 58.5% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:01 | 0.03 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.02 | 85.4% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:16 | 0.02 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 18:10 | 0.08 | 88.8% | +40.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.00 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.18 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.22 | 86.2% | +26.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:14 | 0.46 | 82.4% | +14.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.16 | 90.9% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:17 | 0.32 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.05 | 54.7% | +6.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.09 | 41.5% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.08 | 55.0% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.27 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.00 | 56.3% | +13.7 |
| W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 1.66 | −1.3 | 59:44 |