Thu, Feb 21, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 74% of the time.
67%
18%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:32 | 0.12 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 24:39 | 0.39 | 58.4% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:39 | 0.00 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:54 | 0.00 | 44.9% | +19.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:20 | 0.06 | 48.2% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.20 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:24 | 0.20 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:04 | 0.43 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:33 | 0.08 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.10 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.01 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:10 | 0.00 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.02 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.07 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.02 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.09 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:16 | 0.04 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:29 | 0.00 | 18.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 40 | 39 | 1 | .975 | 3.29 | +2.3 | 65:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 27:23 | 0.27 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 22:44 | 0.69 | 77.3% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:28 | 0.00 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.03 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:40 | 0.47 | 85.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.07 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:40 | 0.14 | 82.5% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:44 | 0.29 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.22 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.07 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.07 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.02 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.04 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:58 | 0.49 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:47 | 0.27 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.00 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:55 | 0.00 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:31 | 0.16 | 20.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 1.85 | +0.8 | 65:00 |