Thu, Feb 21, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 74% of the time.
67%
18%
TBL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Eichel–Rodrigues | Pominville–Larsson–Girgensons | Sheary–Reinhart–Mittelstadt | Sobotka–Thompson–Smith | Pominville–Sobotka–Girgensons | Sobotka–Girgensons–Thompson | McCabe–Ristolainen | Bogosian–Dahlin | Hunwick–Beaulieu | Hunwick–Bogosian | Bogosian–Beaulieu | Bogosian–Ristolainen | Beaulieu–Dahlin | Hunwick–Ristolainen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnson–Kucherov–Point | 3:170.21–0.05 | 3:080.31–0.04 | 3:380.28–0.02 | 0:370.03–0.00 | 6:530.41–0.02 | 2:400.40–0.05 | 0:450.00–0.04 | 0:480.02–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||
| Stamkos–Palat–Miller | 2:310.12–0.06 | 1:360.00–0.03 | 2:290.07–0.09 | 0:450.12–0.00 | 3:420.02–0.09 | 3:000.14–0.08 | 1:410.02–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Killorn–Gourde–Cirelli | 0:500.13–0.00 | 2:040.00–0.00 | 0:350.10–0.00 | 2:260.02–0.04 | 0:410.10–0.00 | 3:100.08–0.00 | 0:430.13–0.00 | 2:400.15–0.00 | 0:560.10–0.04 | |||||
| Paquette–Erne–Joseph | 0:570.00–0.33 | 1:280.04–0.07 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:240.02–0.00 | 1:120.05–0.15 | 3:320.02–0.40 | ||||||||
| Killorn–Kucherov–Cirelli | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Stralman–Hedman | 2:320.06–0.13 | 4:510.21–0.08 | 2:440.14–0.02 | 2:210.03–0.04 | 1:080.10–0.06 | 6:390.18–0.02 | 3:030.12–0.11 | 2:470.04–0.10 | 1:230.10–0.04 | |||||
| Coburn–Sergachev | 2:460.18–0.13 | 2:420.00–0.01 | 1:420.07–0.09 | 2:450.16–0.00 | 4:350.13–0.09 | 3:210.17–0.17 | 2:350.02–0.01 | 0:570.10–0.00 | ||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 4:260.12–0.44 | 0:540.14–0.04 | 3:170.23–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 4:160.25–0.00 | 4:350.24–0.44 | 0:400.00–0.04 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | |||||
| Stralman–McDonagh | 1:000.00–0.11 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 27:23 | 0:59 | 2:16 | 5 | 2 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 28 | 26:32 | 0:57 | 2:03 | 2 | 5 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 25 | 24:39 | 0:59 | 2:03 | 5 | 4 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 24 | 23:39 | 0:59 | 1:40 | 2 | 7 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 26 | 22:54 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 2 | 4 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 24 | 22:44 | 0:57 | 1:54 | 7 | 0 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 24 | 22:28 | 0:56 | 1:56 | 3 | 3 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 22 | 21:20 | 0:58 | 1:37 | 6 | 1 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 27 | 21:13 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 4 | 3 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 26 | 20:47 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 3 | 4 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 22 | 20:40 | 0:56 | 1:36 | 6 | 0 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 27 | 20:06 | 0:45 | 1:59 | 8 | 7 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 21 | 19:24 | 0:55 | 1:53 | 4 | 2 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 24 | 18:40 | 0:47 | 1:54 | 3 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 20 | 18:04 | 0:54 | 2:06 | 4 | 2 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 22 | 16:44 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 5 | 2 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 23 | 16:43 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 3 | 1 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 21 | 16:42 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 3 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 20 | 16:33 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 0 | 7 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 20 | 16:11 | 0:49 | 1:48 | 3 | 2 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 22 | 15:39 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 2 | 6 |
 Vladimir SobotkaBUF | 19 | 15:35 | 0:49 | 1:51 | 2 | 6 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 19 | 15:28 | 0:49 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 21 | 14:31 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 5 | 2 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 22 | 14:10 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 3 | 0 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 19 | 14:00 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 0 | 7 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 20 | 13:58 | 0:42 | 1:54 | 7 | 3 |
 J.T. MillerTBL | 22 | 13:47 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 11 | 4 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 18 | 13:43 | 0:46 | 1:35 | 0 | 5 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 16 | 12:48 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Matt HunwickBUF | 18 | 12:14 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 2 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 13 | 11:30 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 2 | 1 |
 Nathan BeaulieuBUF | 16 | 11:16 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 2 | 4 |
 Adam ErneTBL | 12 | 8:55 | 0:45 | 0:56 | 1 | 1 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 11 | 8:31 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 C.J. SmithBUF | 9 | 6:29 | 0:43 | 1:33 | 2 | 0 |