Sat, Oct 19, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Colorado Avalanche 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
57%
9%
11%
24%
TBL winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:50 | 0.04 | 47.6% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:36 | 0.05 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:36 | 0.20 | 61.5% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:01 | 0.00 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 19:39 | 0.03 | 39.1% | +14.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:22 | 0.15 | 45.0% | +0.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.22 | 49.2% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.00 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.06 | 20.8% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.03 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:49 | 0.10 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:46 | 0.18 | 39.6% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.08 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.05 | 51.8% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.10 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 10:58 | 0.20 | 33.8% | +49.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:44 | 0.10 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 9:48 | 0.06 | 42.0% | +49.2 |
| W | 46 | 44 | 2 | .957 | 2.53 | +0.5 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.17 | 73.3% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 1 | 21:14 | 0.01 | 43.6% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 1 | 20:08 | 0.01 | 37.5% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:46 | 0.03 | 73.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.11 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.07 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.03 | 55.1% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.26 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 7 | 17:30 | 0.27 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 17:01 | 0.41 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.03 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:19 | 0.22 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:35 | 0.28 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.11 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:36 | 0.23 | 66.3% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:13 | 0.07 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 9:17 | 0.08 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 8:51 | 0.14 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 18 | 6 | .750 | 1.66 | −4.3 | 59:29 |