Sat, Oct 19, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Colorado Avalanche 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
57%
9%
11%
24%
TBL winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Landeskog–MacKinnon–Rantanen | Kadri–Donskoi–Burakovsky | Calvert–Nieto–Bellemare | Wilson–Compher–Jost | Kadri–Burakovsky–MacKinnon | Johnson–Girard | Cole–Graves | Zadorov–Makar | Cole–Girard | Johnson–Zadorov | Graves–Girard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killorn–Joseph–Cirelli | 10:150.21–0.25 | 1:350.00–0.06 | 3:320.00–0.15 | 3:430.13–0.16 | 4:100.08–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||
| Stamkos–Palat–Kucherov | 0:550.00–0.13 | 2:080.09–0.03 | 1:520.05–0.08 | 0:490.02–0.00 | 2:230.05–0.00 | 1:160.05–0.12 | 1:050.00–0.18 | ||||
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | 0:500.05–0.05 | 2:200.02–0.00 | 1:240.03–0.00 | 1:020.04–0.14 | 2:170.05–0.14 | 2:250.09–0.06 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||
| Johnson–Gourde–Point | 2:010.12–0.06 | 2:450.00–0.10 | 0:430.05–0.00 | 2:310.06–0.08 | 0:530.06–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.08 | |||||
| Johnson–Palat–Gourde | 2:220.28–0.03 | 1:200.23–0.17 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.02 | 2:140.23–0.02 | 1:360.23–0.00 | 1:010.05–0.20 | ||||
| Stamkos–Point–Cirelli | 0:480.00–0.04 | ||||||||||
| Shattenkirk–McDonagh | 6:290.13–0.29 | 1:300.00–0.06 | 1:280.02–0.15 | 3:570.01–0.24 | 1:090.00–0.06 | 2:560.38–0.06 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.18 | |||
| Hedman–Cernak | 2:590.07–0.05 | 1:500.08–0.00 | 2:340.03–0.08 | 1:250.05–0.01 | 2:360.11–0.00 | 1:570.02–0.08 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||
| Coburn–Sergachev | 1:100.01–0.00 | 3:180.15–0.03 | 2:090.29–0.10 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 3:060.23–0.10 | 1:300.11–0.03 | 0:560.03–0.00 | ||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 1:540.00–0.10 | 1:490.05–0.00 | 1:480.05–0.08 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Shattenkirk–Hedman | 0:580.08–0.00 | 1:190.01–0.00 | 1:030.02–0.02 | 1:030.02–0.02 | 0:590.08–0.00 | 1:310.01–0.00 | |||||
| Hedman–Sergachev | 0:450.00–0.04 | 1:330.27–0.03 | 1:430.22–0.04 | 0:450.05–0.00 | |||||||
| Coburn–Cernak | 1:070.02–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:470.06–0.00 | ||||||||
| Coburn–Shattenkirk | 0:360.00–0.17 | 0:580.00–0.02 | 0:550.01–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 25 | 22:59 | 0:55 | 1:55 | 4 | 0 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 24 | 22:50 | 0:57 | 2:14 | 4 | 3 |
 Erik JohnsonCOL | 24 | 22:36 | 0:57 | 1:51 | 1 | 5 |
 Kevin ShattenkirkTBL | 24 | 21:14 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 2 | 1 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 24 | 20:36 | 0:52 | 1:20 | 3 | 2 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 23 | 20:08 | 0:53 | 1:34 | 2 | 2 |
 Ryan GravesCOL | 28 | 20:01 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 1 | 6 |
 Ian ColeCOL | 28 | 19:39 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 2 | 7 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 23 | 18:46 | 0:49 | 1:56 | 5 | 1 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 22 | 18:23 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 5 | 0 |
 Mikko RantanenCOL | 21 | 18:22 | 0:52 | 1:24 | 3 | 1 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 20 | 18:17 | 0:55 | 1:34 | 3 | 2 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 21 | 18:14 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 3 | 1 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 22 | 18:03 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 3 | 1 |
 Nikita ZadorovCOL | 20 | 17:56 | 0:54 | 1:19 | 1 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 21 | 17:54 | 0:51 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 19 | 17:30 | 0:55 | 1:37 | 7 | 0 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 19 | 17:01 | 0:54 | 1:37 | 5 | 0 |
 Nazem KadriCOL | 19 | 16:52 | 0:53 | 1:26 | 2 | 2 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 19 | 16:06 | 0:51 | 1:45 | 2 | 0 |
 Andre BurakovskyCOL | 20 | 15:44 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 20 | 15:19 | 0:46 | 1:01 | 2 | 0 |
 Joonas DonskoiCOL | 19 | 14:49 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 |
 Cale MakarCOL | 19 | 14:46 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 1 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 20 | 14:35 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 4 | 0 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 18 | 13:54 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 19 | 13:36 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 1 | 0 |
 Matt NietoCOL | 16 | 13:32 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 1 | 3 |
 J.T. CompherCOL | 20 | 13:06 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 1 | 7 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareCOL | 18 | 12:44 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 1 | 6 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 14 | 11:13 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 4 | 1 |
 Tyson JostCOL | 15 | 10:58 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 1 | 2 |
 Matt CalvertCOL | 14 | 10:44 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 0 | 2 |
 Colin WilsonCOL | 14 | 9:48 | 0:42 | 0:59 | 1 | 2 |
 Luke WitkowskiTBL | 14 | 9:17 | 0:40 | 1:14 | 3 | 0 |
 Carter VerhaegheTBL | 13 | 8:51 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 3 | 1 |