Sat, Nov 9, 2019·Ericsson Globe, StockholmNeutral site
Buffalo Sabres 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 68% of the time.
50%
18%
22%
11%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 23:59 | 0.07 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22:27 | 0.02 | 42.1% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21:34 | 0.04 | 42.6% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:30 | 0.01 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:16 | 0.01 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.00 | 42.5% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:46 | 0.01 | 55.4% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:47 | 0.02 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:34 | 0.02 | 36.3% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:02 | 0.02 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.01 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.00 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.00 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:42 | 0.02 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:08 | 0.01 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:01 | 0.00 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:12 | 0.01 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:59 | 0.00 | 25.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 35 | 5 | .875 | 0.25 | −4.8 | 56:18 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:32 | 0.01 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:40 | 0.03 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:52 | 0.02 | 48.6% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.00 | 46.4% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.00 | 40.4% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 15:48 | 0.01 | 51.8% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.01 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 0.05 | 55.4% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.01 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:51 | 0.02 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 14:40 | 0.53 | 51.0% | +36.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 14:31 | 0.02 | 51.0% | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:14 | 0.01 | 46.7% | +36.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.00 | 47.4% | +29.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:50 | 0.02 | 48.8% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:37 | 0.01 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:17 | 0.01 | 53.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 43 | 40 | 3 | .930 | 0.26 | −2.7 | 60:00 |