Sat, Nov 9, 2019·Ericsson Globe, StockholmNeutral site
Buffalo Sabres 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 68% of the time.
50%
18%
22%
11%
TBL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Reinhart–Olofsson–Eichel | Johansson–Vesey–Mittelstadt | Skinner–Sheary–Rodrigues | Okposo–Larsson–Girgensons | Larsson–Skinner–Rodrigues | Johansson–Skinner–Mittelstadt | Okposo–Larsson–Vesey | Johansson–Sheary–Mittelstadt | McCabe–Ristolainen | Montour–Dahlin | Miller–Jokiharju | Ristolainen–Dahlin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maroon–Gourde–Paquette | 1:260.01–0.01 | 2:050.02–0.01 | 2:330.00–0.02 | 2:430.01–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 5:360.03–0.01 | 2:240.00–0.02 | 1:580.01–0.01 | 1:090.00–0.00 | ||
| Johnson–Kucherov–Point | 3:410.03–0.01 | 3:540.01–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 2:500.00–0.01 | 4:300.03–0.01 | 3:140.00–0.02 | ||||
| Killorn–Joseph–Cirelli | 7:160.02–0.01 | 0:530.00–0.01 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 3:290.00–0.00 | 2:130.01–0.00 | 4:120.01–0.02 | ||||||
| Stamkos–Palat–Volkov | 2:210.00–0.01 | 3:100.01–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 2:530.00–0.01 | 2:580.00–0.00 | 3:090.01–0.00 | |||||
| Palat–Joseph–Cirelli | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Stamkos–Palat–Joseph | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 7:250.04–0.03 | 2:280.01–0.00 | 1:490.01–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 4:570.00–0.01 | 7:290.05–0.01 | 2:560.01–0.01 | 1:090.00–0.00 | ||
| Hedman–Rutta | 1:400.01–0.00 | 2:240.00–0.00 | 1:480.00–0.01 | 2:020.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 5:160.00–0.01 | 2:170.00–0.00 | 3:100.01–0.01 | |||
| Shattenkirk–Sergachev | 0:520.00–0.00 | 2:250.01–0.01 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 3:110.01–0.01 | 1:500.00–0.01 | 1:580.00–0.00 | ||||
| Sergachev–Rutta | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:580.01–0.01 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 2:330.01–0.01 | |||||||
| Shattenkirk–Hedman | 0:490.01–0.00 | 2:070.01–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:380.01–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.02 | ||||||
| McDonagh–Rutta | 1:070.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.01 | 0:440.00–0.01 | 1:190.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Cernak–Sergachev | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 23 | 24:32 | 1:04 | 3:08 | 1 | 7 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 27 | 23:59 | 0:53 | 2:01 | 1 | 10 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 24 | 22:40 | 0:57 | 2:14 | 1 | 7 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 24 | 22:27 | 0:56 | 3:46 | 5 | 5 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 25 | 21:52 | 0:52 | 2:45 | 7 | 4 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 24 | 21:34 | 0:54 | 3:46 | 5 | 4 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 23 | 21:30 | 0:56 | 3:46 | 3 | 1 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 25 | 21:16 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 1 | 11 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 24 | 20:28 | 0:51 | 3:01 | 5 | 4 |
 Marcus JohanssonBUF | 26 | 19:46 | 0:46 | 2:15 | 5 | 3 |
 Jan RuttaTBL | 20 | 18:52 | 0:57 | 1:34 | 2 | 6 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 22 | 18:26 | 0:50 | 2:01 | 4 | 8 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 25 | 17:49 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 7 | 8 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 19 | 17:47 | 0:56 | 2:58 | 5 | 2 |
 Brandon MontourBUF | 23 | 17:34 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 1 | 4 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 23 | 17:02 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 6 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 15:48 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 6 | 0 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 22 | 15:43 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 6 | 1 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 16 | 15:24 | 0:58 | 1:42 | 2 | 1 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 21 | 15:15 | 0:44 | 1:48 | 5 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 20 | 15:11 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 5 | 0 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 20 | 14:51 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 4 | 0 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 19 | 14:40 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 5 | 2 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 19 | 14:31 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 5 | 2 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 21 | 14:20 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 3 | 2 |
 Kevin ShattenkirkTBL | 21 | 14:14 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 4 | 1 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 19 | 14:11 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 3 | 4 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 19 | 13:50 | 0:44 | 1:51 | 2 | 5 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 19 | 13:37 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 3 | 2 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 18 | 13:12 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 2 | 7 |
 Jimmy VeseyBUF | 19 | 12:42 | 0:40 | 2:22 | 3 | 2 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 16 | 12:08 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 3 | 3 |
 Alexander VolkovTBL | 13 | 10:17 | 0:47 | 1:06 | 2 | 0 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 15 | 10:01 | 0:40 | 1:14 | 2 | 3 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 11 | 9:12 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 1 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 13 | 8:59 | 0:41 | 1:32 | 1 | 6 |