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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 9, 2021·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Nashville Predators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Coleman–Goodrow–GourdeStamkos–Palat–PointMaroon–Joseph–VolkovKillorn–Johnson–CirelliMcDonagh–CernakHedman–RuttaSchenn–SergachevHedman–SergachevSchenn–HedmanMcDonagh–SergachevMcDonagh–Rutta
Duchene–Granlund–Kunin1:560.00–0.062:410.05–0.002:220.10–0.021:300.00–0.084:510.09–0.022:130.03–0.141:000.03–0.000:370.00–0.00
Forsberg–Sissons–Arvidsson4:140.20–0.253:040.03–0.070:420.05–0.000:420.03–0.003:580.15–0.052:190.10–0.002:250.08–0.020:410.00–0.25
Jarnkrok–Grimaldi–Malone1:450.15–0.022:380.09–0.001:380.00–0.011:440.02–0.002:010.15–0.021:440.02–0.002:570.04–0.010:410.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
McCarron–Trenin–Olivier1:470.00–0.111:570.15–0.120:380.00–0.022:350.14–0.060:590.00–0.140:350.01–0.03
Forsberg–Arvidsson–Kunin1:160.28–0.001:160.28–0.00
Granlund–Arvidsson–Kunin0:320.00–0.00
Duchene–Granlund–Sissons0:430.00–0.060:300.00–0.06
Josi–Ellis5:420.26–0.073:120.06–0.072:220.00–0.050:500.00–0.006:030.16–0.082:170.10–0.064:130.11–0.070:490.00–0.00
Borowiecki–Benning3:090.02–0.251:230.00–0.604:330.23–0.171:590.01–0.122:270.09–0.003:010.03–0.083:120.07–0.110:580.05–0.851:100.01–0.100:320.00–0.00
Ekholm–Fabbro1:090.00–0.022:260.17–0.092:370.05–0.040:550.14–0.021:100.00–0.090:320.00–0.00
Josi–Fabbro0:540.27–0.001:070.02–0.001:010.00–0.061:510.02–0.121:030.27–0.002:570.02–0.18
Benning–Fabbro1:000.00–0.140:370.01–0.040:350.07–0.14
Borowiecki–Fabbro0:380.02–0.000:400.00–0.000:520.00–0.000:420.02–0.00
Ellis–Fabbro1:140.02–0.000:560.12–0.000:300.00–0.00
Josi–Benning0:500.14–0.000:590.14–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndForsberg FSissons FArvidsson FKunin FGranlund FDuchene FOlivier FMcCarron FJarnkrok FGrimaldi FMalone FTrenin FEllis DJosi DFabbro DEkholm DBenning DBorowiecki DSaros GGoodrow FColeman FGourde FJohnson FKillorn FCirelli FStamkos FPoint FPalat FJoseph FMaroon FVolkov FSchenn DSergachev DMcDonagh DCernak DRutta DHedman DVasilevskiy G
NSHTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH3128:340:551:56104
Ryan EllisNSH2522:460:552:1264
Victor HedmanTBL2422:410:571:5963
Ryan McDonaghTBL2522:240:541:2905
Dante FabbroNSH2522:170:531:3151
Erik CernakTBL2220:450:571:3305
Mikhail SergachevTBL2420:010:501:4561
Mikael GranlundNSH2319:430:511:4026
Matt DucheneNSH2018:360:561:4362
Anthony CirelliTBL2417:580:451:1645
Filip ForsbergNSH1917:390:561:4814
Matt BenningNSH2217:370:481:2506
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2117:340:501:3213
Yanni GourdeTBL2417:260:441:1646
Luke KuninNSH2017:210:521:3123
Mark BorowieckiNSH2217:200:471:4605
Barclay GoodrowTBL2317:150:451:0736
Blake ColemanTBL2316:590:441:1034
Alex KillornTBL2316:210:431:1143
Steven StamkosTBL2215:280:421:1957
Jan RuttaTBL2214:430:401:0543
Brayden PointTBL1714:350:511:1951
Colton SissonsNSH2014:170:431:1216
Ondrej PalatTBL1713:120:471:1551
Patrick MaroonTBL1713:000:461:1620
Calle JarnkrokNSH1612:340:471:2421
Luke SchennTBL1712:320:441:1430
Rocco GrimaldiNSH1712:270:441:1522
Tyler JohnsonTBL1712:080:431:0822
Michael McCarronNSH1412:040:521:4142
Mathieu JosephTBL1712:040:431:1010
Alexander VolkovTBL1511:530:481:1510
Mattias EkholmNSH1411:290:491:3124
Yakov TreninNSH1211:190:571:4111
Sean MaloneNSH1510:380:431:2431
Mathieu OlivierNSH107:370:461:4101