Thu, Mar 11, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Detroit Red Wings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
27%
8%
58%
DET winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 25:33 | 0.28 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 | 22:10 | 0.54 | 89.2% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 21:46 | 0.47 | 54.0% | +23.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:40 | 0.43 | 86.9% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:16 | 0.05 | 87.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:15 | 0.26 | 99.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 19:43 | 0.68 | 91.9% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 18:57 | 0.40 | 48.4% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:57 | 0.37 | 89.4% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 16:20 | 0.01 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:21 | 0.37 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:33 | 0.09 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:57 | 0.05 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:54 | 0.17 | 78.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.02 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:54 | 0.02 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 10:41 | 0.01 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:51 | 0.07 | 83.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 17 | 5 | .773 | 1.89 | −3.1 | 57:42 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23:01 | 0.04 | 21.5% | +18.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:45 | 0.15 | 49.8% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 0 | 19:47 | 0.00 | 49.0% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:05 | 0.01 | 11.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.71 | 14.1% | +2.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:26 | 0.61 | 33.8% | +13.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 16:39 | 0.20 | 50.3% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.72 | 8.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.00 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.00 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.15 | 39.7% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 9.9% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.11 | 51.9% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 0.25 | 2.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.17 | 54.3% | +13.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12:36 | 0.19 | 20.9% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.00 | 3.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.00 | 2.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 44 | 40 | 4 | .909 | 4.29 | +0.3 | 60:00 |