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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 11, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Detroit Red Wings 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Victor HedmanD · #77000−2325:330.2840.4%0.0
Mikhail SergachevD · #98101+2922:100.5489.2%+15.3
Steven StamkosC · #91112−1421:460.4754.0%+23.3
Brayden PointC · #21112+1420:400.4386.9%+8.4
Ryan McDonaghD · #27000−2320:160.0587.4%0.0
Erik CernakD · #810000320:150.2699.8%0.0
Ondrej PalatLW · #18123+2419:430.6891.9%+38.6
Alex KillornLW · #17011−3218:570.4048.4%+16.1
Anthony CirelliC · #71011+1317:570.3789.4%+15.3
Yanni GourdeC · #37000−3016:200.0139.2%0.0
Blake ColemanLW · #20000−2213:210.3756.3%0.0
Barclay GoodrowC · #19000−1112:330.0944.0%0.0
Tyler JohnsonC · #9000−1111:570.0559.1%0.0
Cal FooteD · #52000−1311:540.1778.7%0.0
Patrick MaroonLW · #14000−1111:080.0273.3%0.0
Mathieu JosephRW · #7000−1010:540.0282.4%0.0
Jan RuttaD · #44000−3010:410.0122.1%0.0
Ross ColtonC · #79000018:510.0783.0%0.0
Curtis McElhinney#35L22175.7731.89−3.157:42

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Filip HronekD · #170220323:010.0421.5%+18.3
Dylan LarkinC · #71101+2120:450.1549.8%+15.7
Jon MerrillD · #24011+4019:470.0049.0%+7.5
Danny DeKeyserD · #650000119:050.0111.5%0.0
Vladislav NamestnikovC · #92101+2117:490.7114.1%+2.6
Luke GlendeningC · #41101−1317:260.6133.8%+13.5
Anthony ManthaRW · #39123+3216:390.2050.3%+36.2
Darren HelmC · #43000−2115:400.728.0%0.0
Patrik NemethD · #220000015:370.0035.2%0.0
Marc StaalD · #18000+2015:310.0063.7%0.0
Robby FabbriC · #14101+3215:300.1539.7%+7.5
Sam GagnerC · #89011+1115:190.009.9%+14.9
Filip ZadinaRW · #11022+1115:070.1151.9%+28.4
Bobby RyanRW · #540000214:100.252.4%0.0
Michael RasmussenC · #27011+1113:160.1754.3%+13.5
Troy StecherD · #701010412:360.1920.9%+14.9
Adam ErneLW · #73000−1011:250.003.5%0.0
Christian DjoosD · #440000010:580.002.0%0.0
Jonathan Bernier#45W44404.9094.29+0.360:00