Thu, Mar 11, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Detroit Red Wings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
27%
8%
58%
DET winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Palat–Point–Cirelli | Killorn–Stamkos–Gourde | Johnson–Coleman–Goodrow | Maroon–Joseph–Colton | Stamkos–Palat–Point | McDonagh–Cernak | Sergachev–Foote | Hedman–Rutta | Hedman–Sergachev | McDonagh–Rutta | McDonagh–Foote | Hedman–Cernak | Cernak–Sergachev | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mantha–Larkin–Fabbri | 3:010.12–0.06 | 4:110.36–0.13 | 2:110.00–0.07 | 3:560.00–0.17 | 1:030.12–0.04 | 3:240.35–0.02 | |||||||
| Gagner–Namestnikov–Zadina | 0:520.00–0.04 | 1:030.01–0.03 | 3:100.00–0.14 | 1:160.00–0.02 | 2:300.01–0.12 | 1:280.00–0.06 | |||||||
| Helm–Glendening–Erne | 2:520.00–0.05 | 0:450.01–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 1:590.01–0.05 | |||||||||
| Ryan–Rasmussen–Zadina | 2:330.00–0.13 | 1:380.00–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.01 | 0:490.00–0.09 | |||||||||
| Ryan–Erne–Rasmussen | 0:560.01–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.06 | 0:540.00–0.06 | 0:400.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Helm–Namestnikov–Glendening | 0:350.01–0.00 | 0:490.03–0.00 | 0:400.01–0.00 | 0:490.03–0.00 | |||||||||
| Ryan–Larkin–Rasmussen | 0:340.00–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Helm–Glendening–Larkin | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.15 | |||||||||||
| Gagner–Namestnikov–Mantha | 1:040.00–0.09 | 1:040.00–0.09 | |||||||||||
| DeKeyser–Hronek | 3:220.00–0.24 | 3:110.16–0.16 | 2:020.00–0.12 | 1:030.01–0.00 | 4:390.00–0.15 | 2:130.01–0.30 | 2:150.15–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.20 | 0:340.01–0.01 | ||||
| Staal–Merrill | 2:260.00–0.01 | 1:500.08–0.06 | 1:370.50–0.09 | 3:020.00–0.10 | 1:200.00–0.04 | 0:570.58–0.00 | |||||||
| Nemeth–Stecher | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.02 | 0:450.00–0.04 | 1:410.03–0.07 | 1:360.00–0.11 | 1:070.00–0.02 | 0:410.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Nemeth–Djoos | 0:410.00–0.05 | 0:360.00–0.09 | 1:440.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.09 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Nemeth–Merrill | 1:060.12–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.03 | 1:340.00–0.03 | 1:060.12–0.00 | |||||||||
| Staal–Stecher | 0:570.00–0.09 | 0:490.12–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.05 | 0:450.12–0.05 | 0:340.00–0.03 | |||||||
| Merrill–Djoos | 0:380.00–0.02 | 1:430.00–0.06 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.06 | |||||||||
| Merrill–Stecher | 0:510.00–0.11 | 1:050.01–0.09 | |||||||||||
| Nemeth–Hronek | 1:030.01–0.00 | 0:470.01–0.00 | |||||||||||
| DeKeyser–Stecher | 0:350.01–0.00 | 0:400.01–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Staal–Djoos | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 25:33 | 0:57 | 2:05 | 7 | 2 |
 Filip HronekDET | 28 | 23:01 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 3 | 10 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 26 | 22:10 | 0:51 | 1:37 | 8 | 3 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 21:46 | 0:57 | 2:21 | 10 | 3 |
 Dylan LarkinDET | 24 | 20:45 | 0:52 | 1:26 | 4 | 4 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 21 | 20:40 | 0:59 | 2:01 | 12 | 0 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 28 | 20:16 | 0:43 | 1:50 | 5 | 3 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 26 | 20:15 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 3 | 5 |
 Jon MerrillDET | 25 | 19:47 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 1 | 7 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 20 | 19:43 | 0:59 | 1:38 | 10 | 0 |
 Danny DeKeyserDET | 23 | 19:05 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 1 | 10 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 24 | 18:57 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 7 | 2 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 25 | 17:57 | 0:43 | 1:38 | 12 | 2 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovDET | 24 | 17:49 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 1 | 5 |
 Luke GlendeningDET | 28 | 17:26 | 0:37 | 1:17 | 2 | 14 |
 Anthony ManthaDET | 22 | 16:39 | 0:45 | 1:50 | 3 | 3 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 22 | 16:20 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 6 | 4 |
 Darren HelmDET | 25 | 15:40 | 0:38 | 1:17 | 2 | 13 |
 Patrik NemethDET | 19 | 15:37 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 0 | 6 |
 Marc StaalDET | 22 | 15:31 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 1 | 6 |
 Robby FabbriDET | 20 | 15:30 | 0:47 | 1:50 | 3 | 3 |
 Sam GagnerDET | 21 | 15:19 | 0:44 | 1:04 | 1 | 4 |
 Filip ZadinaDET | 22 | 15:07 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 2 | 3 |
 Bobby RyanDET | 20 | 14:10 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 1 | 4 |
 Blake ColemanTBL | 19 | 13:21 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 4 | 2 |
 Michael RasmussenDET | 20 | 13:16 | 0:40 | 1:17 | 1 | 4 |
 Troy StecherDET | 16 | 12:36 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 3 | 1 |
 Barclay GoodrowTBL | 19 | 12:33 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 5 | 2 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 18 | 11:57 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 6 | 0 |
 Cal FooteTBL | 20 | 11:54 | 0:36 | 1:01 | 8 | 2 |
 Adam ErneDET | 14 | 11:25 | 0:49 | 1:20 | 2 | 5 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 16 | 11:08 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 5 | 1 |
 Christian DjoosDET | 18 | 10:58 | 0:37 | 1:16 | 2 | 2 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 18 | 10:54 | 0:36 | 1:11 | 3 | 1 |
 Jan RuttaTBL | 17 | 10:41 | 0:38 | 1:01 | 2 | 1 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 14 | 8:51 | 0:38 | 0:56 | 4 | 1 |