Fri, May 14, 2021·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Winnipeg Jets 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
38%
8%
9%
45%
WPG winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 22:22 | 0.05 | 38.0% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.08 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:05 | 0.13 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:02 | 0.13 | 69.2% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 18:01 | 0.12 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:52 | 0.00 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.05 | 84.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 16:38 | 0.58 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:22 | 0.07 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.06 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.31 | 70.6% | +22.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:58 | 0.47 | 63.7% | +22.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 15:04 | 0.44 | 60.6% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.09 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.10 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:39 | 0.22 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:18 | 0.15 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.24 | 44.6% | +17.5 |
| L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.33 | −0.7 | 59:44 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:01 | 0.11 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.12 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:12 | 0.17 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:05 | 0.04 | 45.8% | +3.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:14 | 0.22 | 33.0% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.09 | 56.2% | +51.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.03 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:51 | 0.27 | 33.7% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.03 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.00 | 55.8% | +51.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:24 | 0.38 | 57.1% | +51.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.10 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.26 | 47.4% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.23 | 34.8% | +21.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.72 | 44.3% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:07 | 0.09 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:02 | 0.05 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:47 | 0.11 | 58.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.28 | +1.3 | 60:00 |