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Ice Lab

Fri, May 14, 2021·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Winnipeg Jets 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.

WPG winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kerfoot–Engvall–MikheyevFoligno–Tavares–NylanderGalchenyuk–Brooks–MatthewsThornton–Spezza–SimmondsThornton–Spezza–MatthewsTavares–Nylander–MatthewsBrodie–RiellyMuzzin–HollHutton–DermottBrodie–HuttonMuzzin–Hutton
Wheeler–Scheifele–Connor4:280.13–0.202:380.15–0.043:500.21–0.007:070.33–0.104:320.02–0.221:360.00–0.03
Lowry–Toninato–Appleton4:410.33–0.671:480.27–0.001:010.13–0.271:020.00–0.100:480.00–0.003:220.59–0.064:160.13–0.972:450.01–0.04
Thompson–Lewis–Harkins0:390.00–0.001:520.09–0.085:280.19–0.171:010.00–0.004:270.02–0.152:180.15–0.023:030.05–0.02
Stastny–Perreault–Dubois0:510.11–0.002:420.00–0.002:030.04–0.090:400.00–0.001:270.12–0.002:430.00–0.12
Perreault–Lowry–Appleton0:380.00–0.000:390.00–0.041:210.00–0.00
Lewis–Perreault–Dubois0:360.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Thompson–Perreault–Dubois0:440.00–0.080:490.00–0.08
Forbort–Pionk1:060.11–0.003:170.27–0.035:440.09–0.273:090.15–0.121:110.00–0.000:560.01–0.006:480.27–0.063:500.27–0.005:340.00–0.150:340.09–0.00
DeMelo–Morrissey2:410.00–0.066:320.32–0.032:330.24–0.001:470.02–0.160:340.00–0.046:390.31–0.214:150.13–0.083:320.02–0.02
Benn–Stanley6:540.46–0.670:400.00–0.060:560.04–0.094:090.09–0.094:080.50–0.085:480.09–1.034:400.03–0.12
Morrissey–Pionk
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDubois FStastny FPerreault FWheeler FScheifele FConnor FLowry FToninato FAppleton FThompson FHarkins FLewis FDeMelo DMorrissey DPionk DForbort DBenn DStanley DHellebuyck GFoligno FNylander FTavares FMatthews FBrooks FGalchenyuk FKerfoot FEngvall FMikheyev FSpezza FSimmonds FThornton FHoll DMuzzin DRielly DBrodie DDermott DHutton DCampbell G
WPGTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2422:220:561:3335
Derek ForbortWPG2722:010:491:4325
TJ BrodieTOR2221:020:571:2316
Neal PionkWPG2620:210:471:3933
Josh MorrisseyWPG2620:120:471:2362
Dylan DeMeloWPG2720:050:451:2364
Mason AppletonWPG2219:140:521:3114
Auston MatthewsTOR2119:050:551:2323
Jake MuzzinTOR2319:020:501:2213
Mark ScheifeleWPG2018:330:562:0162
Justin HollTOR2318:010:471:2223
Logan StanleyWPG2117:560:511:3901
Ben HuttonTOR2217:520:491:2103
Adam LowryWPG2217:510:491:3113
Jordie BennWPG2117:240:501:3901
Blake WheelerWPG1917:120:541:2762
Travis DermottTOR2317:090:451:4704
John TavaresTOR2216:380:451:3342
Kyle ConnorWPG1916:240:521:2162
William NylanderTOR2116:220:471:2454
Nick FolignoTOR2016:050:481:2252
Alexander KerfootTOR2016:010:481:1205
Ilya MikheyevTOR1915:580:501:1902
Nate ThompsonWPG2015:310:471:4011
Trevor LewisWPG2015:100:461:1211
Pierre EngvallTOR1915:040:481:0803
Adam BrooksTOR1714:080:501:1904
Jason SpezzaTOR1914:020:441:1411
Dominic ToninatoWPG1613:440:521:3902
Wayne SimmondsTOR1713:390:481:1210
Jansen HarkinsWPG1713:260:471:2201
Joe ThorntonTOR1713:180:471:1410
Mathieu PerreaultWPG1813:070:441:1150
Alex GalchenyukTOR1612:150:461:0703
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG1610:020:381:0850
Paul StastnyWPG107:470:471:2120