Sat, Nov 6, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Ottawa Senators 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.
15%
72%
OTT winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Palat–Point–Cirelli | Killorn–Stamkos–Joseph | Raddysh–Colton–Barré-Boulet | Perry–Maroon–Bellemare | Bellemare–Joseph–Raddysh | McDonagh–Cernak | Hedman–Rutta | Hedman–Cernak | Hedman–Foote | McDonagh–Rutta | Claesson–Cernak | McDonagh–Foote | Claesson–Rutta | McDonagh–Hedman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norris–Batherson–Tkachuk | 5:490.00–0.41 | 2:040.06–0.21 | 1:450.50–0.07 | 3:340.50–0.29 | 1:160.00–0.24 | 2:410.10–0.05 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:070.09–0.09 | 0:450.00–0.02 | |||||
| Brown–Paul–Formenton | 2:380.24–0.10 | 2:470.25–0.47 | 2:050.07–0.01 | 0:390.18–0.00 | 1:190.03–0.00 | 2:200.31–0.11 | 0:500.06–0.24 | 1:440.00–0.08 | 1:490.11–0.37 | 0:510.21–0.15 | 0:580.00–0.00 | |||
| Tierney–Sanford–Stützle | 1:200.00–0.08 | 1:060.03–0.00 | 2:230.21–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:330.24–0.07 | 1:170.00–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||
| Shaw–Gambrell–Kelly | 1:060.24–0.00 | 0:570.16–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.02 | 0:470.24–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.03 | ||||||||
| Tierney–Kelly–Stützle | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Norris–Batherson–Stützle | ||||||||||||||
| Shaw–Sanford–Gambrell | 0:350.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Brown–Paul–Tkachuk | 0:320.05–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.08 | ||||||||||||
| Shaw–Gambrell–Formenton | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Chabot–Zaitsev | 6:300.00–0.76 | 4:140.50–0.17 | 2:120.28–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 3:150.00–0.12 | 2:470.21–0.26 | 2:300.10–0.33 | 2:040.00–0.08 | 1:460.01–0.09 | 1:500.09–0.37 | 3:340.45–0.58 | 0:450.05–0.00 | ||
| Holden–Brown | 3:080.19–0.17 | 1:470.03–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.04 | 2:580.02–0.04 | 1:480.03–0.04 | 2:430.17–0.18 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.00 | 1:250.11–0.00 | 1:270.07–0.03 | 1:320.01–0.03 | |||
| Mete–Zub | 2:530.06–0.05 | 2:320.04–0.38 | 3:060.16–0.01 | 1:320.10–0.05 | 2:060.00–0.04 | 1:180.10–0.00 | 3:140.06–0.30 | 1:220.10–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||
| Chabot–Zub | 1:000.63–0.00 | 0:340.50–0.00 | 0:330.09–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Zaitsev–Zub | 0:420.00–0.02 | 0:460.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 30 | 28:53 | 0:58 | 2:11 | 6 | 2 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 28 | 28:51 | 1:02 | 2:25 | 10 | 4 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 34 | 25:19 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 3 | 6 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 27 | 25:17 | 0:56 | 1:35 | 1 | 5 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 27 | 21:54 | 0:49 | 2:20 | 8 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 29 | 21:31 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 5 | 4 |
 Josh NorrisOTT | 29 | 21:02 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 9 | 3 |
 Nikita ZaitsevOTT | 25 | 20:45 | 0:50 | 1:52 | 7 | 3 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 27 | 19:46 | 0:44 | 1:42 | 7 | 3 |
 Connor BrownOTT | 23 | 19:12 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 3 | 3 |
 Nick PaulOTT | 24 | 18:22 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 1 | 5 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 25 | 18:13 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 6 | 2 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 25 | 18:07 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 3 | 2 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 25 | 17:49 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 5 | 2 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 22 | 17:39 | 0:48 | 1:19 | 5 | 2 |
 Jan RuttaTBL | 27 | 17:31 | 0:39 | 1:32 | 4 | 2 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 23 | 16:24 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 4 | 0 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 24 | 16:19 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 4 | 2 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 21 | 16:16 | 0:46 | 1:43 | 1 | 3 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 23 | 16:06 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 3 | 3 |
 Victor MeteOTT | 23 | 15:39 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 4 | 3 |
 Alex FormentonOTT | 21 | 15:23 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 1 | 5 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL | 21 | 15:21 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 1 | 5 |
 Joshua BrownOTT | 19 | 14:46 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 0 | 5 |
 Nick HoldenOTT | 19 | 14:28 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 0 | 4 |
 Zachary SanfordOTT | 20 | 14:12 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 1 | 3 |
 Cal FooteTBL | 17 | 12:26 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Taylor RaddyshTBL | 15 | 11:19 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 1 | 3 |
 Alex Barré-BouletTBL | 15 | 9:52 | 0:39 | 1:21 | 3 | 2 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 12 | 9:49 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 0 | 0 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 13 | 9:41 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 1 | 0 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 15 | 9:39 | 0:39 | 1:23 | 2 | 4 |
 Logan ShawOTT | 14 | 8:46 | 0:38 | 1:14 | 0 | 5 |
 Fredrik ClaessonTBL | 13 | 8:30 | 0:39 | 1:21 | 1 | 1 |
 Parker KellyOTT | 12 | 7:39 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Dylan GambrellOTT | 11 | 7:26 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 0 | 3 |