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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 20, 2022·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Ottawa Senators 1, Winnipeg Jets 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 58% of the time.

WPG winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Chartier–Gambrell–KellyDeBrincat–Batherson–KastelicDeBrincat–Batherson–PintoGiroux–Brassard–TkachukBrassard–Watson–MotteWatson–Motte–KastelicGiroux–Tkachuk–PintoGiroux–DeBrincat–PintoWatson–Motte–PintoChabot–ZaitsevHamonic–SandersonHolden–BrannstromChabot–BrannstromHolden–HamonicChabot–SandersonHolden–Zaitsev
Scheifele–Kuhlman–Perfetti3:110.00–0.221:200.00–0.180:390.02–0.001:140.00–0.002:380.01–0.000:330.03–0.003:240.16–0.002:520.21–0.094:250.00–0.280:480.15–0.06
Lowry–Harkins–Barron0:540.03–0.012:310.04–0.290:510.01–0.082:570.36–0.070:350.00–0.001:150.00–0.006:450.37–0.362:290.06–0.090:500.03–0.00
Gagner–Connor–Dubois3:480.00–0.450:360.00–0.001:530.10–0.320:390.03–0.000:500.00–0.001:540.01–0.004:470.21–0.503:320.10–0.34
Stenlund–Jonsson-Fjallby–Gustafsson1:160.00–0.001:370.04–0.031:020.06–0.011:030.50–0.001:460.00–0.082:320.05–0.03
Connor–Dubois–Kuhlman0:300.00–0.00
Scheifele–Connor–Dubois0:400.00–0.000:400.09–0.00
DeMelo–Morrissey3:170.00–0.321:130.09–0.002:140.16–0.320:500.00–0.001:340.04–0.031:180.00–0.000:500.00–0.004:050.51–0.015:000.18–0.373:180.12–0.320:540.09–0.00
Dillon–Pionk1:310.03–0.011:110.01–0.083:180.23–0.071:000.00–0.020:300.00–0.054:560.25–0.333:310.21–0.191:520.00–0.090:510.03–0.000:360.00–0.00
Samberg–Heinola2:150.00–0.200:500.00–0.000:400.00–0.002:320.10–0.050:320.00–0.003:200.15–0.002:280.08–0.071:510.00–0.20
Samberg–Pionk1:400.00–0.211:230.00–0.121:130.00–0.000:460.03–0.030:300.12–0.001:020.00–0.113:560.03–0.21
Dillon–Heinola1:540.04–0.040:350.00–0.000:480.04–0.001:510.00–0.010:520.04–0.001:160.00–0.010:330.04–0.00
Dillon–Morrissey0:370.01–0.000:350.01–0.000:440.15–0.06
Dillon–DeMelo0:370.00–0.001:050.11–0.00
Morrissey–Samberg0:360.00–0.15
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHarkins FLowry FBarron FDubois FConnor FGagner FScheifele FKuhlman FPerfetti FGustafsson FStenlund FJonsson-Fjallby FPionk DDillon DMorrissey DDeMelo DSamberg DHeinola DRittich GTkachuk FGiroux FBrassard FBatherson FDeBrincat FPinto FWatson FMotte FKastelic FGambrell FKelly FChartier FZaitsev DChabot DHamonic DSanderson DHolden DBrannstrom DTalbot G
WPGOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brenden DillonWPG2824:080:522:2223
Thomas ChabotOTT2723:520:532:1831
Neal PionkWPG2822:400:492:3814
Josh MorrisseyWPG2620:130:471:3154
Jake SandersonOTT2619:260:451:1523
Dylan DeMeloWPG2919:230:401:1946
Kyle ConnorWPG2419:210:481:4343
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2819:170:411:0932
Alex DeBrincatOTT2118:480:542:1031
Travis HamonicOTT2518:400:451:1523
Nick HoldenOTT2618:380:431:4312
Mark ScheifeleWPG2018:020:541:2312
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG2317:510:471:1642
Drake BathersonOTT2217:430:482:1430
Erik BrannstromOTT2217:290:481:5121
Dylan SambergWPG2317:160:451:1812
Shane PintoOTT2117:080:491:5120
Morgan BarronWPG2015:490:471:2004
Ville HeinolaWPG1915:390:491:2121
Jansen HarkinsWPG1915:380:491:1703
Cole PerfettiWPG2015:270:461:1422
Claude GirouxOTT2315:230:401:2142
Sam GagnerWPG2315:120:401:0432
Adam LowryWPG2015:050:451:1504
Brady TkachukOTT2115:020:431:2240
Karson KuhlmanWPG2115:010:431:0212
Tyler MotteOTT1914:510:471:1203
Dylan GambrellOTT2114:320:421:0331
Derick BrassardOTT2014:200:431:1621
Parker KellyOTT2314:180:371:1521
Mark KastelicOTT2014:150:431:0512
Rourke ChartierOTT2113:030:370:5241
Kevin StenlundWPG1711:420:411:0022
Austin WatsonOTT1511:150:450:5702
David GustafssonWPG1510:040:401:0411
Axel Jonsson-FjallbyWPG139:290:441:1220