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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 16, 2023·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

Ottawa Senators 1, St. Louis Blues 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 66% of the time.

STL winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Batherson–Tkachuk–StützleGiroux–DeBrincat–PintoBrassard–Watson–KastelicGambrell–Kelly–LucchiniBrassard–Gambrell–LucchiniChabot–Bernard-DockerHamonic–SandersonHolden–BrannstromHolden–HamonicChabot–BrannstromChabot–Sanderson
Buchnevich–Kyrou–Thomas3:580.22–0.310:470.00–0.060:330.00–0.090:390.00–0.053:150.17–0.192:200.05–0.210:480.00–0.00
Schenn–Saad–Barbashev1:310.00–0.103:220.10–0.260:450.04–0.001:030.05–0.003:290.10–0.312:060.06–0.051:360.05–0.00
Leivo–Acciari–Neighbours0:450.00–0.001:500.13–0.002:220.00–0.021:090.13–0.002:580.24–0.051:110.00–0.002:260.03–0.02
Saad–Kyrou–Thomas2:310.31–0.031:180.03–0.002:180.17–0.011:580.12–0.020:400.10–0.00
Pitlick–Acciari–Toropchenko1:120.00–0.011:220.00–0.001:490.00–0.011:240.00–0.090:350.00–0.00
Pitlick–Walker–Toropchenko0:450.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:590.07–0.001:300.11–0.001:150.02–0.03
Schenn–Buchnevich–Toropchenko1:300.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Schenn–Buchnevich–Barbashev0:590.00–0.030:400.00–0.020:360.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:360.00–0.03
Leivo–Barbashev–Neighbours0:320.00–0.000:350.00–0.001:220.00–0.00
Leddy–Parayko7:540.42–0.354:500.13–0.061:070.05–0.050:470.05–0.008:060.44–0.254:570.11–0.142:120.07–0.000:440.00–0.001:020.00–0.05
Faulk–Mikkola3:420.13–0.125:550.10–0.540:560.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:420.00–0.004:270.18–0.415:050.09–0.303:440.00–0.060:360.00–0.00
Rosen–Tucker1:200.00–0.240:530.00–0.125:540.02–0.122:120.15–0.004:520.15–0.002:220.11–0.284:200.15–0.20
Faulk–Tucker0:500.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Leddy–Faulk0:410.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndThomas FKyrou FBuchnevich FSchenn FBarbashev FSaad FLeivo FAcciari FNeighbours FPitlick FWalker FToropchenko FLeddy DParayko DFaulk DMikkola DRosen DTucker DBinnington GTkachuk FStützle FBatherson FGiroux FDeBrincat FPinto FWatson FKastelic FBrassard FGambrell FKelly FLucchini FBernard-Docker DChabot DHamonic DSanderson DHolden DBrannstrom DTalbot G
STLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2826:480:571:4310
Colton ParaykoSTL3123:480:461:2515
Justin FaulkSTL2723:350:522:1125
Nick LeddySTL2922:540:471:1314
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT2520:560:501:5301
Drake BathersonOTT2520:090:481:1621
Tim StützleOTT2720:080:451:2831
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2419:420:491:4053
Claude GirouxOTT2519:230:471:2715
Alex DeBrincatOTT2119:130:551:4731
Jake SandersonOTT2519:100:461:1124
Brayden SchennSTL2118:590:541:5713
Noel AcciariSTL2518:350:451:3319
Robert ThomasSTL2318:090:471:2563
Travis HamonicOTT2518:000:431:5435
Brady TkachukOTT2517:580:431:2631
Jordan KyrouSTL2317:480:461:2052
Brandon SaadSTL2117:120:491:0834
Niko MikkolaSTL2517:070:411:2025
Nick HoldenOTT2116:140:462:2321
Shane PintoOTT2015:440:471:1220
Calle RosenSTL2015:370:471:2931
Erik BrannstromOTT1915:250:492:0711
Tyler TuckerSTL2115:110:431:2141
Ivan BarbashevSTL1914:470:471:1901
Jake NeighboursSTL1813:560:461:3502
Josh LeivoSTL1813:100:441:0301
Derick BrassardOTT1812:330:422:0727
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL1612:180:461:2322
Austin WatsonOTT2111:540:341:0027
Dylan GambrellOTT1711:200:402:1611
Jake LucchiniOTT1811:140:371:3700
Parker KellyOTT2210:530:300:5312
Mark KastelicOTT1910:070:321:0029
Tyler PitlickSTL138:570:411:1921
Nathan WalkerSTL116:200:351:0120