Tue, Mar 7, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.
53%
9%
9%
30%
TBL winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 23:47 | 0.53 | 63.0% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:06 | 0.11 | 45.6% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:53 | 0.12 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:53 | 0.03 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:49 | 0.06 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:31 | 0.38 | 44.1% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.19 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.02 | 54.0% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:16 | 0.08 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.26 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.02 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:19 | 0.09 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.10 | 20.0% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.06 | 52.9% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:12 | 0.21 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:57 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:52 | 0.01 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:25 | 0.00 | 22.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 39 | 34 | 5 | .872 | 2.93 | −2.1 | 59:53 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24:57 | 0.15 | 58.4% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:06 | 0.02 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:03 | 0.18 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:55 | 0.03 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | −1 | 4 | 18:33 | 0.39 | 46.8% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.14 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:24 | 0.24 | 47.3% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.05 | 73.6% | +7.2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 16:09 | 0.50 | 67.5% | +37.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:08 | 0.21 | 64.0% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.16 | 61.5% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:15 | 0.09 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.00 | 64.6% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:23 | 0.10 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:51 | 0.28 | 61.4% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.09 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 10:52 | 0.29 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:41 | 0.00 | 53.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 2.28 | +0.3 | 60:00 |