Tue, Mar 7, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.
53%
9%
9%
30%
TBL winsPHI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Laughton–Allison–Cates | van Riemsdyk–Tippett–Frost | Laughton–Lemieux–Cates | Tippett–Frost–Farabee | van Riemsdyk–Hayes–Allison | Deslauriers–Hayes–Lemieux | Deslauriers–Laczynski–Tippett | Laughton–Tippett–Cates | Laughton–Tippett–Frost | Hayes–Lemieux–Farabee | van Riemsdyk–Frost–Farabee | Deslauriers–Hayes–Farabee | Seeler–DeAngelo | Provorov–York | Ristolainen–Sanheim | Ristolainen–York | Braun–Provorov | DeAngelo–Provorov | DeAngelo–York | Ristolainen–Provorov | Sanheim–DeAngelo | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | 2:170.15–0.02 | 1:130.00–0.02 | 2:120.10–0.02 | 0:380.01–0.06 | 1:020.08–0.03 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.06 | 0:570.05–0.02 | 1:530.15–0.02 | 2:430.00–0.08 | 1:330.11–0.00 | 2:320.05–0.25 | 2:170.08–0.03 | ||||||||
| Paul–Colton–Jeannot | 1:090.06–0.16 | 0:440.09–0.00 | 0:390.03–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.01 | 0:460.06–0.01 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:090.01–0.00 | 0:440.06–0.00 | 0:400.11–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.20 | 0:300.03–0.01 | 0:420.06–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.01 | |||||||
| Killorn–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:000.02–0.09 | 1:240.07–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:320.17–0.00 | 0:460.02–0.00 | 2:550.24–0.12 | 0:530.02–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:000.13–0.00 | 1:010.09–0.05 | |||||||||||
| Perry–Maroon–Eyssimont | 1:430.02–0.06 | 0:440.00–0.10 | 0:490.04–0.00 | 0:530.05–0.06 | 0:390.16–0.00 | 2:020.16–0.00 | 1:520.04–0.17 | 0:310.00–0.06 | 0:380.04–0.07 | 0:390.16–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli | 0:460.00–0.04 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Cirelli–Hagel–Jeannot | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Cole–Cernak | 0:490.00–0.06 | 2:250.07–0.16 | 1:520.05–0.06 | 1:070.04–0.07 | 1:030.17–0.00 | 1:030.02–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.02 | 4:250.26–0.03 | 1:030.02–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.06 | 3:000.24–0.07 | 1:590.04–0.23 | 0:350.03–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.04 | |||||||
| Sergachev–Perbix | 2:340.17–0.02 | 1:510.06–0.02 | 1:450.00–0.00 | 1:020.08–0.03 | 0:350.10–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.06 | 0:460.06–0.00 | 1:350.15–0.02 | 2:060.01–0.00 | 2:130.06–0.01 | 1:300.05–0.02 | 2:020.08–0.03 | 0:380.10–0.00 | 0:420.06–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Bogosian–Fleury | 2:060.00–0.09 | 0:530.00–0.10 | 1:330.13–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.10 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:400.13–0.12 | 2:040.00–0.02 | 1:110.04–0.10 | 0:580.00–0.06 | 0:300.00–0.04 | ||||||||||
| Cole–Perbix | 1:140.00–0.02 | 0:440.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Bogosian–Sergachev | 0:350.16–0.00 | 1:040.02–0.10 | 0:370.16–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cole–Bogosian | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Fleury–Cernak | 0:300.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 29 | 24:57 | 0:52 | 2:15 | 5 | 2 |
 Owen TippettPHI | 28 | 23:47 | 0:51 | 1:43 | 2 | 3 |
 Ian ColeTBL | 27 | 23:06 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 2 | 5 |
 Rasmus RistolainenPHI | 28 | 23:06 | 0:50 | 2:22 | 3 | 4 |
 Scott LaughtonPHI | 29 | 21:53 | 0:45 | 2:08 | 1 | 9 |
 Ivan ProvorovPHI | 28 | 21:53 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 1 | 6 |
 Tony DeAngeloPHI | 23 | 21:49 | 0:57 | 1:58 | 2 | 3 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 21:03 | 0:55 | 2:27 | 5 | 4 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 28 | 20:55 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 2 | 4 |
 Morgan FrostPHI | 25 | 20:31 | 0:49 | 1:50 | 2 | 0 |
 Noah CatesPHI | 31 | 20:24 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 2 | 9 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 20 | 18:33 | 0:56 | 2:17 | 4 | 1 |
 Cam YorkPHI | 24 | 17:56 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 3 | 2 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 24 | 17:35 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 21 | 17:24 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 5 | 2 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 19 | 16:23 | 0:52 | 1:19 | 2 | 4 |
 Kevin HayesPHI | 18 | 16:16 | 0:54 | 1:41 | 4 | 1 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 19 | 16:09 | 0:51 | 1:24 | 5 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 20 | 16:08 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 2 | 5 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 20 | 15:00 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 3 | 1 |
 Zach BogosianTBL | 15 | 14:15 | 0:57 | 2:01 | 4 | 1 |
 James van RiemsdykPHI | 21 | 13:56 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Nick SeelerPHI | 19 | 13:53 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 2 | 2 |
 Tanner JeannotTBL | 16 | 13:44 | 0:52 | 1:17 | 1 | 0 |
 Haydn FleuryTBL | 17 | 13:23 | 0:47 | 1:43 | 3 | 1 |
 Wade AllisonPHI | 18 | 13:19 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 1 | 3 |
 Brendan LemieuxPHI | 18 | 12:56 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 2 | 2 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 17 | 12:51 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 3 | 0 |
 Joel FarabeePHI | 19 | 12:48 | 0:40 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Travis SanheimPHI | 14 | 12:12 | 0:52 | 1:57 | 1 | 1 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 18 | 12:01 | 0:40 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 15 | 10:52 | 0:43 | 1:01 | 1 | 1 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersPHI | 17 | 9:57 | 0:35 | 1:23 | 2 | 0 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 14 | 9:41 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Justin BraunPHI | 12 | 8:52 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 0 | 2 |
 Tanner LaczynskiPHI | 13 | 6:25 | 0:30 | 0:52 | 1 | 0 |