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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 28, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 62% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Kucherov–PointPaul–Colton–HagelKillorn–Maroon–CirelliPerry–Bellemare–JeannotRaddysh–SergachevHedman–PerbixFleury–CernakHedman–RaddyshHedman–CernakFleury–PerbixCernak–Sergachev
Martinook–Aho–Necas5:240.21–0.030:410.00–0.000:400.00–0.003:450.27–0.002:580.11–0.010:340.00–0.001:140.00–0.03
Noesen–Kotkaniemi–Jarvis1:010.00–0.005:090.13–0.040:520.00–0.001:360.00–0.002:250.00–0.042:480.13–0.001:030.01–0.00
Staal–Fast–Teravainen1:360.03–0.004:140.07–0.151:390.01–0.213:110.09–0.151:150.00–0.00
Stastny–Stepan–Drury4:500.28–0.221:070.00–0.072:090.23–0.011:370.05–0.02
Staal–Fast–Martinook3:100.36–0.032:150.02–0.03
Teravainen–Kotkaniemi–Drury1:270.19–0.101:380.02–0.000:510.02–0.001:090.14–0.000:560.05–0.10
Aho–Necas–Jarvis0:490.00–0.081:430.11–0.131:140.00–0.081:100.11–0.13
Fast–Martinook–Kotkaniemi0:450.00–0.010:310.01–0.00
Kotkaniemi–Drury–Jarvis0:330.00–0.000:580.26–0.02
Teravainen–Kotkaniemi–Jarvis0:530.00–0.00
Skjei–Pesce8:330.19–0.051:450.01–0.041:400.00–0.132:400.13–0.198:190.20–0.304:490.39–0.000:430.00–0.131:570.00–0.07
Burns–Slavin1:510.36–0.225:400.07–0.151:120.15–0.001:500.05–0.012:000.08–0.156:210.13–0.173:250.16–0.000:390.34–0.000:440.01–0.00
Gostisbehere–Chatfield1:300.00–0.001:040.14–0.105:420.13–0.042:490.12–0.022:560.02–0.002:240.24–0.044:550.14–0.130:510.00–0.020:340.00–0.001:010.00–0.00
Burns–Gostisbehere0:430.00–0.000:480.00–0.010:460.00–0.00
Slavin–Chatfield0:340.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Slavin–Pesce1:120.05–0.000:490.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FFast FTeravainen FMartinook FNecas FAho FNoesen FJarvis FKotkaniemi FDrury FStepan FStastny FBurns DSlavin DSkjei DPesce DChatfield DGostisbehere DKochetkov GPaul FHagel FColton FKucherov FStamkos FPoint FCirelli FMaroon FKillorn FBellemare FPerry FJeannot FPerbix DHedman DRaddysh DSergachev DFleury DCernak DVasilevskiy G
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2723:460:532:1512
Mikhail SergachevTBL2723:240:521:4134
Brady SkjeiCAR2322:420:591:2214
Brett PesceCAR2121:481:021:4813
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR2120:561:001:4643
Darren RaddyshTBL2420:550:521:2412
Brent BurnsCAR2420:180:511:5261
Shayne GostisbehereCAR2020:131:011:5832
Seth JarvisCAR2020:001:001:4032
Nikita KucherovTBL2119:440:561:3063
Erik CernakTBL2119:330:562:1012
Brayden PointTBL2218:110:501:2654
Martin NecasCAR2118:000:511:4724
Jaccob SlavinCAR2117:580:512:0141
Steven StamkosTBL2017:470:531:4162
Nick PerbixTBL2017:260:521:3712
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2017:190:521:2943
Alex KillornTBL1916:540:531:1413
Jack DruryCAR2016:280:491:3832
Sebastian AhoCAR2016:180:491:2724
Brandon HagelTBL2016:120:491:2225
Nick PaulTBL1915:550:501:2224
Jordan MartinookCAR2115:450:451:3114
Jesper FastCAR1915:270:491:1844
Jordan StaalCAR2015:210:461:0444
Anthony CirelliTBL1815:110:511:1413
Jalen ChatfieldCAR1814:530:501:4822
Haydn FleuryTBL1613:060:491:3111
Patrick MaroonTBL1412:530:551:1921
Ross ColtonTBL1612:370:471:2123
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1812:110:411:1412
Corey PerryTBL1710:340:371:0312
Stefan NoesenCAR1110:240:571:2920
Tanner JeannotTBL1510:000:400:5811
Paul StastnyCAR158:480:350:5931
Derek StepanCAR137:520:360:5621