Sat, Feb 17, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Florida Panthers 9, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.
46%
10%
8%
35%
TBL winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 22:41 | 0.19 | 67.6% | +10.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 21:55 | 0.05 | 27.2% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:27 | 0.00 | 42.3% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.09 | 81.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:16 | 0.00 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 16:55 | 0.58 | 57.9% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:22 | 0.07 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.00 | 43.2% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.23 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 37.4% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.17 | 35.5% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 56.4% | +5.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.09 | 36.1% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.03 | 43.2% | +0.1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 3 | 12:54 | 0.46 | 38.1% | +33.9 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 2 | 12:24 | 0.24 | 37.3% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 11:08 | 0.11 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.07 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.70 | +0.7 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:55 | 0.02 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:38 | 0.07 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:29 | 0.00 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:55 | 0.36 | 53.3% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.19 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 4 | 18:30 | 0.32 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.29 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.10 | 65.2% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:51 | 0.07 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:34 | 0.08 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.09 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.17 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.26 | 81.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 13:36 | 0.31 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:26 | 0.13 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:20 | 0.03 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:45 | 0.18 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:11 | 0.01 | 68.8% | 0.0 |
| – | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 1.06 | −1.9 | 19:53 | |
| L | 22 | 16 | 6 | .727 | 1.34 | −4.7 | 40:00 |