Sun, Mar 17, 2024·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Carolina Hurricanes 7, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 55% of the time.
35%
10%
47%
OTT winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:46 | 0.06 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:58 | 0.05 | 45.6% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:08 | 0.04 | 44.3% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 20:01 | 0.45 | 75.2% | +42.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:32 | 0.04 | 47.1% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 18:50 | 0.62 | 75.2% | +24.9 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 5 | 18:48 | 0.43 | 76.9% | +55.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.08 | 50.5% | +5.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.09 | 76.4% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.54 | 52.5% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:42 | 0.13 | 52.9% | +25.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.23 | 70.9% | +26.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 13:07 | 0.15 | 51.6% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:58 | 0.13 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.11 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.03 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.12 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:35 | 0.05 | 57.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 3.00 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:53 | 0.01 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 21:42 | 0.01 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:47 | 0.17 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 19:54 | 0.16 | 76.0% | +36.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 18:48 | 0.76 | 32.5% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.10 | 79.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18:20 | 0.63 | 66.6% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:56 | 0.01 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 16:55 | 0.00 | 31.0% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.33 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:25 | 0.47 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.02 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.01 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.15 | 60.9% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.00 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.11 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.04 | 48.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 31 | 7 | .816 | 3.36 | −3.6 | 60:00 |