Sat, Oct 19, 2024·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Ottawa Senators 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 55% of the time.
44%
11%
10%
35%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25:16 | 0.23 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:52 | 0.00 | 61.2% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:10 | 0.06 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:56 | 0.05 | 40.1% | +22.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:02 | 0.08 | 43.7% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:49 | 0.00 | 60.3% | +12.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:44 | 0.51 | 41.3% | +34.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:03 | 0.17 | 80.0% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.04 | 84.8% | +31.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:26 | 0.25 | 70.1% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.20 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.04 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:36 | 0.00 | 32.4% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.00 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 9.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:05 | 0.07 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:42 | 0.16 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:34 | 0.07 | 53.5% | +12.4 |
| L | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 2.16 | −2.8 | 57:56 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 26:28 | 0.18 | 54.8% | +44.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:35 | 0.18 | 67.5% | +20.6 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 | 21:16 | 0.51 | 69.4% | +40.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:14 | 0.18 | 74.6% | +11.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:13 | 0.02 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:06 | 0.00 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.08 | 47.0% | +22.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 18:24 | 0.53 | 39.3% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.00 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 34.6% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:31 | 0.06 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:26 | 0.00 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:22 | 0.14 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:02 | 0.22 | 66.8% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:34 | 0.00 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:40 | 0.04 | 13.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:14 | 0.04 | 34.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 1.92 | −2.1 | 60:00 |