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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 19, 2024·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Ottawa Senators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 55% of the time.

OTT winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Guentzel–PointPaul–Cirelli–HagelSheary–Eyssimont–GeekieGlendening–Girgensons–ChaffeeCirelli–Hagel–ChaffeePaul–Sheary–GeekieMcDonagh–CernakHedman–MoserHedman–RaddyshPerbix–MoserRaddysh–PerbixRaddysh–MoserHedman–PerbixMcDonagh–Perbix
Giroux–Norris–Batherson5:010.29–0.102:060.00–0.000:580.11–0.070:360.00–0.012:430.14–0.002:480.06–0.062:410.23–0.000:530.00–0.010:320.00–0.07
Amadio–Tkachuk–Stützle1:530.00–0.003:480.07–0.241:210.03–0.000:370.00–0.070:380.00–0.004:410.08–0.183:140.10–0.040:520.00–0.07
Perron–Gregor–Pinto0:560.00–0.071:040.02–0.001:310.06–0.000:320.00–0.002:220.02–0.071:020.04–0.001:280.00–0.000:540.06–0.000:430.00–0.01
Cousins–Gaudette–MacEwen1:390.04–0.092:130.00–0.120:400.00–0.001:170.00–0.090:400.00–0.041:300.00–0.081:080.00–0.000:330.04–0.00
Cousins–Tkachuk–Stützle1:000.00–0.00
Jensen–Chabot1:160.27–0.005:090.08–0.241:400.17–0.040:300.03–0.005:160.12–0.003:200.19–0.210:490.00–0.070:360.06–0.000:340.04–0.07
Hamonic–Sanderson6:360.12–0.221:490.02–0.001:060.00–0.010:460.00–0.012:160.04–0.073:400.12–0.072:210.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:560.00–0.010:450.00–0.04
Bernard-Docker–Kleven1:180.04–0.093:010.00–0.092:250.04–0.000:370.00–0.003:550.02–0.091:160.04–0.001:290.04–0.081:470.00–0.000:590.00–0.000:450.00–0.070:560.00–0.00
Jensen–Kleven0:540.00–0.000:440.00–0.070:330.00–0.18
Chabot–Sanderson
Chabot–Bernard-Docker0:390.00–0.05
Jensen–Sanderson
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndNorris FBatherson FGiroux FTkachuk FStützle FPerron FPinto FAmadio FMacEwen FGaudette FCousins FGregor FJensen DChabot DHamonic DSanderson DKleven DBernard-Docker DForsberg GPaul FHagel FCirelli FGlendening FGirgensons FKucherov FPoint FGuentzel FEyssimont FSheary FGeekie FChaffee FMcDonagh DCernak DMoser DHedman DRaddysh DPerbix DVasilevskiy G
OTTTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake SandersonOTT2826:280:572:2935
Victor HedmanTBL2925:160:522:4152
Ryan McDonaghTBL2921:520:451:5936
Claude GirouxOTT3021:350:433:0437
Drake BathersonOTT2421:160:532:4034
Josh NorrisOTT2721:140:472:1646
J.J. MoserTBL3221:100:401:2636
Brayden PointTBL2320:560:552:4980
Nick JensenOTT2920:130:421:3234
Thomas ChabotOTT2620:060:461:3843
Jake GuentzelTBL2620:020:462:1071
Erik CernakTBL2919:490:411:1926
Nikita KucherovTBL2419:440:492:4280
Tim StützleOTT2019:360:592:3461
Brandon HagelTBL2519:030:461:3337
Brady TkachukOTT1918:240:582:3081
Travis HamonicOTT2617:480:411:3235
Anthony CirelliTBL2316:560:441:2426
Nick PaulTBL2216:260:451:2037
Darren RaddyshTBL2116:210:471:3550
Tyler KlevenOTT2215:560:431:1331
Shane PintoOTT2314:350:381:0923
Conor GeekieTBL1713:570:491:3021
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT2013:310:411:0621
Michael AmadioOTT1913:260:421:1742
David PerronOTT2112:220:351:1331
Nick PerbixTBL1911:360:371:0823
Conor ShearyTBL1511:090:451:1911
Noah GregorOTT2011:020:330:5731
Luke GlendeningTBL2610:520:250:53310
Nick CousinsOTT1410:340:451:0250
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL2010:050:301:0625
Michael EyssimontTBL159:420:391:0611
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL199:340:301:0824
Adam GaudetteOTT128:400:431:3941
Zack MacEwenOTT127:140:360:5941