Sat, Dec 14, 2024·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Seattle Kraken 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 74% of the time.
18%
68%
SEA winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 22:30 | 0.16 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:54 | 0.00 | 50.7% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:35 | 0.04 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:41 | 0.80 | 20.2% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.38 | 53.5% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:13 | 0.43 | 56.3% | +17.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:51 | 0.40 | 63.1% | +32.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:36 | 0.52 | 53.6% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.22 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:00 | 0.02 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.05 | 82.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.05 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.05 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:39 | 0.45 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.10 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.02 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:23 | 0.33 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 9:58 | 0.07 | 73.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 21 | 1 | .955 | 2.57 | +1.6 | 60:00 |
Seattle Kraken
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:20 | 0.05 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 21:17 | 0.11 | 35.6% | +10.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:57 | 0.08 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:00 | 0.03 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.02 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.19 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.24 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:27 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:57 | 0.01 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:38 | 0.00 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:05 | 0.21 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:32 | 0.28 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.05 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.22 | 65.8% | +10.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14:13 | 0.92 | 67.4% | +10.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:34 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:34 | 0.16 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:36 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 3.37 | −0.6 | 59:43 |