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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 14, 2024·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Seattle Kraken 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 74% of the time.

SEA winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

SEA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Guentzel–PointCirelli–Hagel–GeekiePaul–Chaffee–GoncalvesGlendening–Girgensons–EyssimontGuentzel–Point–EyssimontPerbix–LillebergMcDonagh–CernakRaddysh–CarlileMcDonagh–PerbixMcDonagh–RaddyshRaddysh–LillebergCernak–Lilleberg
Stephenson–Burakovsky–McCann2:100.03–0.053:510.12–0.072:480.00–0.031:370.00–0.014:440.05–0.013:110.07–0.010:590.00–0.031:090.00–0.070:400.03–0.000:370.00–0.03
Schwartz–Tanev–Beniers4:580.28–0.901:520.01–0.030:450.00–0.001:210.05–0.160:430.00–0.003:120.18–0.333:040.00–0.192:430.16–0.080:300.00–0.450:480.00–0.00
Bjorkstrand–Tolvanen–Wright2:360.12–0.001:240.67–0.002:040.00–0.261:010.00–0.000:300.00–0.002:320.14–0.003:150.67–0.142:470.34–0.070:320.00–0.000:400.00–0.210:300.00–0.00
Stephens–Kartye–Winterton1:550.00–0.182:270.15–0.241:180.00–0.002:570.00–0.250:430.00–0.153:110.16–0.03
Schwartz–Beniers–Winterton0:340.02–0.021:230.00–0.02
Borgen–Evans2:370.19–0.456:380.78–0.211:220.00–0.065:420.32–0.013:250.67–0.242:510.10–0.080:350.00–0.450:310.00–0.00
Larsson–Dunn2:330.20–0.051:440.01–0.005:250.00–0.483:340.05–0.243:460.00–0.002:530.39–0.051:140.11–0.020:300.00–0.210:530.00–0.03
Oleksiak–Montour4:380.22–0.441:000.15–0.054:020.02–0.133:430.00–0.402:170.00–0.272:480.20–0.081:190.21–0.000:500.03–0.000:310.00–0.00
Montour–Dunn0:520.07–0.111:460.00–0.021:370.07–0.001:260.00–0.13
Montour–Evans0:570.07–0.001:250.07–0.10
Larsson–Oleksiak0:560.00–0.001:190.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStephenson FMcCann FBurakovsky FSchwartz FBeniers FTanev FWright FTolvanen FBjorkstrand FKartye FStephens FWinterton FBorgen DEvans DMontour DOleksiak DDunn DLarsson DGrubauer GGeekie FHagel FCirelli FKucherov FGuentzel FPoint FChaffee FPaul FGoncalves FEyssimont FGlendening FGirgensons FPerbix DLilleberg DCernak DMcDonagh DRaddysh DCarlile DJohansson G
SEATBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan McDonaghTBL2522:300:541:5616
Nick PerbixTBL2621:540:511:5524
Emil LillebergTBL2521:350:521:5514
Vince DunnSEA2321:200:561:5433
Brandon MontourSEA2121:171:012:4021
Brandon HagelTBL2220:410:562:5233
Nikita KucherovTBL2420:240:512:2661
Darren RaddyshTBL2520:130:492:1181
Adam LarssonSEA2219:570:541:4207
Jake GuentzelTBL2219:510:542:2662
Ryker EvansSEA2319:000:501:3513
Jamie OleksiakSEA2318:420:491:3306
Brayden PointTBL2118:360:532:2470
Jaden SchwartzSEA2218:350:511:2651
Matty BeniersSEA2318:190:481:2441
Anthony CirelliTBL2218:000:491:2213
Erik CernakTBL2518:000:431:3417
Chandler StephensonSEA2417:270:441:2172
Jared McCannSEA2416:570:421:2174
Will BorgenSEA2016:380:501:3514
Brandon TanevSEA2116:050:461:5644
Andre BurakovskySEA1915:320:491:1653
Nick PaulTBL1915:160:481:1717
Oliver BjorkstrandSEA1814:440:491:2431
Shane WrightSEA2014:420:441:3330
Eeli TolvanenSEA1814:130:471:2220
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL1613:170:501:2315
Conor GeekieTBL1911:560:381:2412
Gage GoncalvesTBL1611:390:441:0513
Ryan WintertonSEA1611:340:431:1913
Mitchell StephensSEA1611:340:432:1414
Declan CarlileTBL1811:100:370:5440
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL1710:470:381:0423
Luke GlendeningTBL1810:230:351:0113
Michael EyssimontTBL149:580:431:2012
Tye KartyeSEA138:360:401:2913