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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 9, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Boston Bruins 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 77% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Boston Bruins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Charlie McAvoyD · #73000−1125:080.1056.7%0.0
Nikita ZadorovD · #910000122:120.0444.1%0.0
David PastrnakRW · #88000−2519:200.2453.9%0.0
Parker WotherspoonD · #290000119:150.1148.2%0.0
Mason LohreiD · #6101−2118:470.1353.1%+13.3
Brad MarchandLW · #630110218:180.0942.1%+13.3
Charlie CoyleC · #13000+1218:170.4165.8%0.0
Andrew PeekeD · #520110017:500.0058.7%+13.3
Morgan GeekieC · #39000−1217:400.1651.5%0.0
Pavel ZachaC · #18000−2117:310.2858.0%0.0
Elias LindholmC · #280000416:420.1870.0%0.0
Trent FredericC · #11000−1116:030.0127.1%0.0
Brandon CarloD · #250000115:580.0028.9%0.0
Justin BrazeauRW · #55000−2112:590.0227.0%0.0
John BeecherC · #190000010:520.1557.7%0.0
Cole KoepkeLW · #450000010:390.0448.6%0.0
Oliver WahlstromRW · #71000−129:270.4463.7%0.0
Mark KastelicC · #47000038:050.1558.2%0.0
Jeremy Swayman#1L30273.9003.74+0.758:50

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Brandon HagelLW · #38112+2924:451.9968.2%+26.7
Nikita KucherovRW · #86022+1322:490.2851.9%+5.8
Victor HedmanD · #770110122:360.0961.1%+0.2
Ryan McDonaghD · #27022+2021:370.0446.1%+34.7
Brayden PointC · #211010220:380.3950.0%+0.2
Anthony CirelliC · #71101+2219:510.4464.2%+21.1
Erik CernakD · #81011+1219:490.0343.3%+5.7
Jake GuentzelC · #590000219:470.2659.4%0.0
Darren RaddyshD · #430000118:250.0749.6%0.0
Emil LillebergD · #780000216:310.0643.1%0.0
Nick PerbixD · #48000+1015:090.0057.8%0.0
Nick PaulLW · #200110014:140.0017.2%+13.6
Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #410000012:360.005.3%0.0
Michael EyssimontC · #23101+1111:440.076.3%+13.6
Conor GeekieC · #140000111:250.1067.5%0.0
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #280000211:050.3486.3%0.0
Luke GlendeningC · #11000−109:040.0061.8%0.0
Cam AtkinsonRW · #13000036:280.1594.4%0.0
Andrei Vasilevskiy#88W28271.9642.57+1.659:24