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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 9, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Boston Bruins 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 77% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pastrnak–Zacha–GeekieMarchand–Coyle–LindholmFrederic–Brazeau–WahlstromKastelic–Koepke–BeecherFrederic–Brazeau–KoepkeZadorov–McAvoyPeeke–LohreiCarlo–WotherspoonMcAvoy–Lohrei
Kucherov–Guentzel–Point3:190.07–0.250:580.00–0.091:370.19–0.020:470.08–0.003:580.04–0.141:540.10–0.042:470.31–0.06
Cirelli–Hagel–Geekie3:570.13–0.252:180.21–0.060:340.00–0.003:240.30–0.182:300.00–0.102:420.47–0.04
Paul–Eyssimont–Chaffee0:320.00–0.004:080.00–0.371:580.07–0.400:580.00–0.201:470.00–0.015:250.07–0.451:170.00–0.13
Atkinson–Glendening–Girgensons1:180.01–0.002:140.01–0.031:370.01–0.030:510.43–0.001:280.00–0.00
Girgensons–Cirelli–Hagel1:260.00–0.101:220.17–0.001:550.24–0.101:130.00–0.00
Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel0:360.01–0.000:370.01–0.000:300.00–0.03
Kucherov–Point–Hagel0:480.04–0.020:440.01–0.000:310.00–0.020:440.01–0.00
Glendening–Girgensons–Eyssimont0:440.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Kucherov–Guentzel–Cirelli0:300.00–0.100:330.00–0.10
McDonagh–Cernak6:350.16–0.491:360.00–0.011:250.00–0.107:000.16–0.353:220.00–0.200:460.14–0.020:440.00–0.01
Hedman–Raddysh2:070.00–0.144:400.21–0.271:520.05–0.001:260.00–0.173:030.21–0.122:170.00–0.135:500.47–0.34
Perbix–Lilleberg0:340.00–0.002:090.00–0.452:580.01–0.402:200.01–0.001:250.09–0.003:230.01–0.005:370.53–0.452:170.09–0.00
McDonagh–Raddysh0:450.00–0.000:460.00–0.080:510.00–0.050:430.00–0.03
Hedman–Lilleberg0:480.02–0.001:000.02–0.060:580.00–0.070:560.02–0.00
McDonagh–Perbix0:550.07–0.000:410.12–0.000:390.07–0.000:300.00–0.00
Hedman–Cernak0:590.08–0.040:410.15–0.000:420.15–0.000:310.04–0.04
Cernak–Lilleberg0:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPaul FEyssimont FChaffee FCirelli FHagel FGeekie FPoint FKucherov FGuentzel FGlendening FAtkinson FGirgensons FMcDonagh DCernak DHedman DRaddysh DPerbix DLilleberg DVasilevskiy GCoyle FLindholm FMarchand FGeekie FZacha FPastrnak FFrederic FBrazeau FWahlstrom FKastelic FBeecher FKoepke FMcAvoy DZadorov DWotherspoon DCarlo DLohrei DPeeke DSwayman G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Charlie McAvoyBOS3025:080:501:4267
Brandon HagelTBL2524:450:592:1946
Nikita KucherovTBL2222:491:022:4171
Victor HedmanTBL2822:360:482:3176
Nikita ZadorovBOS2822:120:481:4976
Ryan McDonaghTBL2721:370:481:4945
Brayden PointTBL2220:380:562:3372
Anthony CirelliTBL2319:510:521:2647
Erik CernakTBL2919:490:411:3946
Jake GuentzelTBL2319:470:522:1882
David PastrnakBOS2419:200:481:1571
Parker WotherspoonBOS2519:150:461:2416
Mason LohreiBOS2118:470:541:4441
Darren RaddyshTBL2618:250:431:4695
Brad MarchandBOS2718:180:411:1864
Charlie CoyleBOS2718:170:411:3255
Andrew PeekeBOS2317:500:471:2233
Morgan GeekieBOS2217:400:481:1481
Pavel ZachaBOS2617:310:401:1583
Elias LindholmBOS2716:420:371:1966
Emil LillebergTBL2316:310:431:3422
Trent FredericBOS2416:030:401:2633
Brandon CarloBOS2615:580:371:1138
Nick PerbixTBL2115:090:431:2222
Nick PaulTBL1814:140:471:1531
Justin BrazeauBOS1912:590:411:0232
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL1512:360:501:2541
Michael EyssimontTBL1711:440:411:0541
Conor GeekieTBL1511:250:461:1434
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL1611:050:421:2843
John BeecherBOS1810:520:361:0407
Cole KoepkeBOS1710:390:381:5704
Oliver WahlstromBOS159:270:381:0631
Luke GlendeningTBL189:040:300:5746
Mark KastelicBOS158:050:321:0706
Cam AtkinsonTBL116:280:350:5631