Sat, Mar 15, 2025·TD Garden, Boston
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Boston Bruins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 100% of the time.
100%
BOS winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23:14 | 0.91 | 81.4% | +13.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 22:00 | 1.14 | 79.9% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:08 | 0.68 | 84.6% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:14 | 0.92 | 82.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:25 | 1.30 | 85.6% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:13 | 0.33 | 88.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:04 | 0.18 | 69.7% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.03 | 76.3% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:28 | 1.22 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:26 | 0.36 | 93.4% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:34 | 0.11 | 84.7% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.13 | 81.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 13:58 | 0.45 | 87.8% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.14 | 68.9% | +20.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 11:27 | 0.06 | 88.8% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.03 | 87.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.07 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:19 | 0.13 | 76.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 12 | 10 | 2 | .833 | 1.03 | −1.0 | 60:00 |
Boston Bruins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 22:47 | 0.00 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:46 | 0.00 | 20.8% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:27 | 0.07 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.05 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:42 | 0.08 | 30.2% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.07 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.24 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.16 | 25.1% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.07 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.01 | 8.6% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.00 | 5.9% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.02 | 4.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.01 | 4.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.20 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 3.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:12 | 0.03 | 5.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:43 | 0.01 | 3.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 34 | 4 | .895 | 5.38 | +1.4 | 57:59 |